The racing action from Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday features the Sam F. Davis Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Tampa Bay Downs picks for the entire card!
Full Card Analysis
Tampa Bay Picks February 8, 2025
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Tampa Bay Downs Full Card Analysis
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:05 PM ET; Claiming $18k; 1 mile 40 Y Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
- #10 DON’T TELL AMY (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Stamina to outlast the competition. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
- #9 WEST COAST SONG (3-1): Major Player. Productive recent form.
- #11 THANK THE ACADEMY (7-2): Worth a look. Potentially ready to hit a top number.
- #4 AMERICAN PEACHES (7-2): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 10 – 9 – 11 – 4
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 12:35 PM ET; Claiming $25.5k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.
- #6 LAMPLIGHTER JACK (30-1): Top pick. Looks good based on the 98 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #10 GILDED AGE (4-1): Contender. Running well of late. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #1 EDDIE THE GREAT (4-1): Worth a look. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.
- #9 SONIC SPEED (5-2): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.
Selections: 6 – 10 – 1 – 9
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:05 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $53k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
- #1 CURLAINE (7-2): Top pick. Should be able to work out a trip. Barn has been solid.
- #3 SALTED (2-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
- #6 KISS ME SLOW (5-2): Contender. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
- #2 GOING STREAKIN (15-1): Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 1 – 3 – 6 – 2
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 1:35 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $53k; 1 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.
- #10 LEMONPEPPASTEPPA (7-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Race may set up for this runner.
- #1 FLIP FLOPS (8-1): Major Player. Should take a liking to the race shape.
- #6 FORWARD DEPLOYED (8-5): Major Player. This one’s a fighter in the late stages. Previous success in similar race types.
- #7 TESSITURA (20-1): Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 10 – 1 – 6 – 7
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:14 PM ET; Pelican Stakes $125k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #4 CARAMEL CHIP (5-2): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort. Barn has been solid.
- #2 NUTELLA FELLA (2-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Should take a liking to the race shape.
- #6 DREAMING OF KONA (6-1): Contender. Likely in the mix early.
- #5 PURE CLASS (5-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 4 – 2 – 6 – 5
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 2:44 PM ET; Minaret Stakes $100k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #4 NIC’S STYLE (7-5): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Barn has been solid.
- #6 DAZZLING BLUE (3-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Should take a liking to the race shape.
- #8 MIUCCIA (9-2): Contender. Previous success in similar race types. Likely in the mix early.
- #5 RUTHLESS RUA (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:14 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $53k; 1 mile 40 Y Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
- #3 WEEKENDSANDWHISKEY (3-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #6 VAN GINKEL (2-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #10 WILD CONQUEROR (15-1): Worth a look. Should step forward from the first start.
- #1 CANDYTOWN (6-1): Fringe Contender. Jockey is having a great meet.
Selections: 3 – 6 – 10 – 1
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 3:44 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $54k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.
- #10 SIEMPRE ELEGANTE (7-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Races that could beat these.
- #7 VICTORIA’S DANCER (12-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
- #6 LUCKY COMBINATION (8-5): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #3 SWEET LAURA (15-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 10 – 7 – 6 – 3
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:14 PM ET; Suncoast Stakes $150k; 1 mile 40 Y Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
- #6 LA CARA (2-1): Best bet of the card. Stamina to outlast the competition. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #8 CLOE (8-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Seems to be up against the right competition.
- #4 HER LAUGH (5-2): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. Speed figs match up nicely.
- #2 DANCING MAGIC (8-1): Major Player. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Fast enough on paper to compete.
Selections: 6 – 8 – 4 – 2
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 4:44 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $53k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.
- #12 TICKIN TIME BLONDE (15-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #8 CALLA (20-1): Fringe Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Seems to be up against the right competition.
- #14 ALL NIGHT REVIVAL (5-2): Worth a look. Could wear these ones down late.
- #4 MONA L (8-1): Underneath. Race conditions fit this one well. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 12 – 8 – 14 – 4
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 5:14 PM ET; Sam F. Davis Stakes $250k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
- #6 OWEN ALMIGHTY (2-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #8 NAUGHTY RASCAL (6-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 TREATY OF ROME (6-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
- #3 JOHN HANCOCK (3-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 6 – 8 – 2 – 3
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 12
Post Time: 5:44 PM ET; Allowance $53k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 13 runners.
- #13 PET MAT (15-1): Top pick. Looks good based on the 83 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Should be able to work out a trip.
- #10 FACTOR ANALYSIS (8-5): Major Player. Seems to be up against the right competition. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #11 SHERIF ALI (15-1): Major Player. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
- #8 REMINDER (10-1): Major Player. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Could be grinding down the competition late.
Selections: 13 – 10 – 11 – 8
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Don’t miss all the horse racing action covered by Betting News each and every week. Coverage includes free handicapping tools, comprehensive guides, and in-depth analysis of the week’s biggest cards. Check out our full card analysis for this week’s upcoming big races:
Saturday Analysis
- Aqueduct Picks featuring the Damon Runyon Stakes
- Gulfstream Park Picks featuring the Grade 3 Gulfstream Park Ladies’ Turf Sprint Stakes
- Oaklawn Park Picks featuring the Grade 3 Bayakoa Stakes
- Santa Anita Picks featuring the Grade 3 San Marcos Stakes
- Tampa Bay Downs Picks featuring the Sam F. Davis offering Kentucky Derby Prep points