The racing action from Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday features the Tampa Bay Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Tampa Bay Downs picks for the entire card!
Full Card Analysis

Tampa Bay Picks- 2025 Grade 3 Tampa Bay Stakes
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Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:15 PM ET – Claiming $18k – 1 Mile 40 Yards (Dirt) – Field of 14
- #3 MIDNIGHT ONYX (5-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Strong early pace figs.
- #9 BREATH DEEPLY (4-1): Major Player. Seems to be up against the right competition.
- #7 COMMANDER BIZ (12-1): Major Player. Not likely to be short in the stretch.
- #13 WHISKEY OR WINE (9-2): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 3 – 9 – 7 – 13
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 12:47 PM ET – Maiden Claiming $22k – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Field of 13
- #12 MISS C BANKER (7-2): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly.
- #10 LADY COLLECTED (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
- #6 GLAMOURCENTS (8-1): Contender. Not likely to be short in the stretch. Should sit a good trip.
- #2 GRACE THE LAW (4-1): Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 12 – 10 – 6 – 2
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:18 PM ET – Claiming $20k – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Field of 9

Longshot Play of the Day
- #9 DR. PERRY (9-2): Longshot play of the day. Could be ready for a top effort. Top 5 rider aboard. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
- #3 BAR DOWN EXPRESS (9-2): Major Player. Running well of late. Can run with these.
- #1 JOHN’S PROMISE (4-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
- #6 VOLKERT (10-1): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.
Selections: 9 – 3 – 1 – 6
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 1:48 PM ET – Maiden Special Weight $53k – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) – Field of 12
- #8 ATLAL (5-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid.
- #7 GONCORA (7-5): Major Player. Comes home strong. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #12 HYPER VENOM (30-1): Major Player. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
- #6 MISCHIEVOUS HAN (20-1): Contender. Recent races are solid. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.
Selections: 8 – 7 – 12 – 6
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:20 PM ET – Claiming $18k – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Field of 13
- #8 OOPS HAHA (5-2): Top pick. Race may set up for this runner. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance.
- #11 MACHO GIRL (4-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Good race flow for this runner.
- #13 GHOZ ON (15-1): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
- #1 ST. JOE JET (12-1): Fringe Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.
Selections: 8 – 11 – 13 – 1
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 2:51 PM ET – Endeavour Stakes (G3) – $175k – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) – Field of 10
- #4 SAFFRON MOON (5-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Barn has been solid.
- #6 VENENCIA (9-2): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #5 BREATH AWAY (6-1): Contender. Could wear these ones down late.
- #7 LIBBAN (8-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 4 – 6 – 5 – 7
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:23 PM ET – Allowance Optional Claiming $53k – 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt) – Field of 8
- #8 STREET GLIDE (3-1): Top pick. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance. Should be able to work out a trip.
- #6 WHISKEY PARK (7-2): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Speed figures match this group well.
- #1 PAPA YO (8-5): Contender. Has experience at this level. Previous success in similar race types.
- #4 BROADCASTER (8-1): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 8 – 6 – 1 – 4
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 3:52 PM ET – Starter Optional Claiming $24.5k – 1 Mile 40 Yards (Dirt) – Field of 10
- #10 WANDERING WEST (3-1): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Races competitive with the top contenders.
- #5 GOLDEN JUAN (9-5): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Good race flow for this runner.
- #9 COPPERLITE (12-1): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
- #1 CUPID’S DUDE (5-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 10 – 5 – 9 – 1
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:23 PM ET – Tampa Bay Stakes (G3) – $175k – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) – Field of 10

Best Bet of the Card
- #2 RUNNING BEE (8-5): Best bet of the card. Stamina to outlast the competition. Should be able to work out a trip. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #3 PAROS (4-1): Contender. Can run with these. Should take a liking to the race shape.
- #7 IRISH ACES (7-2): Contender. Could wear these ones down late. Should sit a good trip.
- #1 LORENZ (12-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 2 – 3 – 7 – 1
Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 4:55 PM ET –Allowance $53k – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) – Field of 12
- #5 NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (8-5): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Barn has been solid.
- #1 DREAMING OF ABBA (8-1): Fringe Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late.
- #12 RED WIND (10-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level.
- #10 SILVER MOONLIGHT (3-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 5 – 1 – 12 – 10
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