Saratoga Picks: Grade 2 Suburban Stakes (07/04/2025)

Race Horse running on a dirt track - Saratoga picks

The racing action from Saratoga on Friday features the Suburban Stakes Presented by Subourbon. @HandicappingT3 has all the Saratoga picks for the entire card!

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Saratoga Full Card Analysis

Saratoga Picks: Grade 2 Suburban Stakes (07/04/2025)

Saratoga Picks: Grade 2 Suburban Stakes (07/04/2025)

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Saratoga Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:10 P.M. ET; Allowance $110k; 1 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

  • #1 MISS MOTTLEY (3-1): Prime Win Player. Stamina to outlast the competition. Favorable class relief in this spot.

  • #4 AWESOME CZECH (5-2): Contender. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

  • #5 VINO ROUGE (7-2): Contender. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance. Potentially ready to hit a top number.

  • #3 ANY PORT (12-1): Contender. Solid turn of foot. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 5 – 3

The Plays:

  • Win: #1 at 5-2

  • Exacta Box: 1, 5, 3

Saratoga Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:42 P.M. ET; Schuylerville Stakes $150k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 6 runners.

  • #2 KINGSOLVER (3-1): Top pick. Prat puts this one in with a chance. Should still have something in the tank late.

  • #1 EVOLUTION (7-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

  • #4 MY SWEETHEART (2-1): Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races.

  • #6 SIMONE (9-2): Contender. May improve in second start.

Selections: 2 – 1 – 4 – 6

The Plays:

  • Win: #2 at 5-2

  • Exacta: #2/1, 6

Saratoga Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 2:14 P.M. ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $115k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

  • #6 WAR STRIDE (8-5): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort.

  • #1A SHERIFF BIANCO (4-1): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner.

  • #4 SHADOW DRAGON (4-1): Major Player. Dangerous at this level.

  • #5 MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT (9-2): Contender. Strong jockey/trainer combo.

Selections: 6 – 1A – 4 – 5

The Plays:

  • Win: #6 at 2-1

  • Exacta: #6/1A, 4, 5

  • Trifecta: #6/1A, 4, 5/1A, 4, 5

Saratoga Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:46 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

  • #9 VINTAGE VINO (9-2): Top pick. Should still have something in the tank late.

  • #7 TOM COLLINS (7-2): Major Player. Can run with these.

  • #5 PROFOUND (8-1): Contender. May find the right setup.

  • #1 WICKED IMPROBABLE (20-1): Contender. Alvarado up.

Selections: 9 – 7 – 5 – 1

The Plays:

  • Win: #9 at 5-2

  • Exacta Box: 9, 5, 1

Saratoga Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 3:18 P.M. ET; Claiming $46k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #6 RANGER BATTALION (7-5): Top pick. Ortiz and Rice team up.

  • #4 TIOTE (7-2): Major Player. Form fits.

  • #7 FRANTIC (9-2): Fringe Contender. Ready to improve.

  • #5 AWESOME EMPIRE (5-1): Fringe Contender. May be sneaky.

Selections: 6 – 4 – 7 – 5

The Plays:

  • Win: #6 at 2-1

  • Exacta: #6/4, 7, 5

  • Trifecta: #6/4, 7, 5/4, 7, 5

Saratoga Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:50 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $90k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 11 runners.

  • #6 MINORINCONVENIENCE (7-2): Prime Win Player. Solid overall profile.

  • #4 LAWYER MASON (6-1): Contender. May step forward.

  • #3 MO DODGY (8-1): Contender. Can factor late.

  • #1 IRISH GOODBYE (3-1): Fringe Contender. Dangerous with trip.

Selections: 6 – 4 – 3 – 1

The Plays:

  • Win: #6 at 5-2

  • Exacta Box: 6, 4, 3

Saratoga Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 4:22 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

  • #1A REBELLIOUS TYPE (2-1): Best bet of the card. Brown/Ortiz combo. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.

  • #8 GOOD AS HE GETS (12-1): Contender. Could trip into it.

  • #6 FORT NELSON (9-2): Contender. Live price.

  • #1 WORTHY CHARGE (2-1): Contender. In with a chance.

Selections: 1A – 8 – 6 – 1

The Plays:

  • Win: #1A at 1-1

  • Exacta: #1A/8, 6

  • Trifecta: #1A/8, 6/8, 6

  • Pick 3 (races 7-9): #1A with #4, 5 with #2, 4, 5, 7

Saratoga Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 5:07 P.M. ET; Manila Stakes $200k; 1 M Turf; Field of 12 runners.

  • #4 ZULU KINGDOM (6-5): Top pick. Prat and Brown—dangerous.

  • #5 REAGAN’S WIT (7-2): Major Player. Competitive figures.

  • #12 FLAT TO DA MAT (20-1): Contender. Live longshot.

  • #7 REVOLUTIONNAIRE (12-1): Contender. Good late run potential.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 12 – 7

The Plays:

  • Win: #4 at 2-1

  • Exacta: #4/5, 12, 7

  • Trifecta: #4/5, 12, 7/5, 12, 7

Saratoga Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 5:45 P.M. ET; Belmont Derby Invitational Stakes $750k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

Longshot Play of the Day

  • #2 EARLY ADOPTER (12-1): Longshot play of the day. Live shot at a price. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.

  • #4 NEW CENTURY (3-1): Major Player. Tactical speed helps.

  • #5 TEST SCORE (4-1): Contender. Could trip into it.

  • #7 WORLD BEATER (10-1): Contender. Late kick is useful.

Selections: 2 – 4 – 5 – 7

The Plays:

  • Win: #2 at 4-1

  • Exacta Box: 2, 5, 7

Saratoga Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 6:19 P.M. ET; Suburban Stakes Presented by Subourbon $400k; 1 1/4 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #4 LOCKED (8-5): Top pick. Talented runner gets ideal spot.

  • #1 PHILEAS FOGG (5-1): Major Player. Improving steadily.

  • #8 AWESOME AARON (7-2): Major Player. Dangerous with pace.

  • #7 ANTIQUARIAN (4-1): Contender. Should get a trip.

Selections: 4 – 1 – 8 – 7

The Plays:

  • Win: #4 at 2-1

  • Exacta: #4/1, 8, 7

  • Trifecta: #4/1, 8, 7/1, 8, 7

Saratoga Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 6:51 P.M. ET; Harvey Pack Stakes $150k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 12 runners.

  • #6 WORKS FOR ME (4-1): Prime Win Player. Well spotted here.

  • #10 WITTY (5-1): Contender. Should sit a good trip.

  • #11 AMERICAN MONARCH (20-1): Contender. Not without a chance.

  • #2 OUR SHOT (10-1): Contender. Will be rolling late.

Selections: 6 – 10 – 11 – 2

The Plays:

  • Win: #6 at 5-2

  • Exacta Box: 6, 10, 11

Betting News Horse Racing Coverage

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Thursday Analysis

  • Saratoga Picks featuring the Grade 3 Victory Ride Stakes

Friday Analysis

  • Saratoga Picks featuring the Grade 2 Suburban Stakes

Saturday Analysis

  • Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks featuring the Grade 3 Indiana Derby
  • Los Alamitos Picks featuring the Grade 2 Great Lady M Stakes
  • Saratoga Picks featuring the Grade 1 Belmont Derby