Saratoga Picks: Grade 1 Belmont Derby (07/05/2025)

Saratoga Picks

The racing action from Saratoga on Saturday features the Belmont Oaks Invitational Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Saratoga picks for the entire card!

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Saratoga Full Card Analysis

Saratoga Picks: Grade 1 Belmont Derby (07/05/2025)

Saratoga Picks: Grade 1 Belmont Derby (07/05/2025)

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Saratoga Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:35 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 5 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 6 runners.

  • #2 EWING (6-5): Top pick. Favorable class relief in this spot.

  • #4 SHE’S ON A ROLL (7-2): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Looks to get a bit easier group here.

  • #1 TARTABULL (8-1): Contender. Lezcano and Summers team up on this one. Previous success in similar race types.

  • #3 SECTION (15-1): Fringe Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 2 – 4 – 1 – 3

The Plays:

  • Win: #2 at 6-5

  • Exacta: #2/4, 1

  • Trifecta: #2/4, 1, 3/4, 1, 3

Saratoga Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:07 PM ET; Claiming $60k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.

  • #6 CALL ME FAST (2-1): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Stamina to outlast the competition.

  • #1 LEADING CONTENDER (8-5): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts.

  • #5 HERO’S MEDAL (7-2): Contender. Potential to have this pace fall just right.

Selections: 6 – 1 – 5

The Plays:

  • Win: #6 at 2-1

  • Exacta: #6/1, 5

  • Trifecta: #6/1, 5/1, 5

Saratoga Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:40 PM ET; Sanford Stakes $175k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 6 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

  • #4 BLINGING IT BACK (6-5): Best bet of the card. Should be able to work out a trip. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.

  • #2 OBLITERATION (7-5): Fringe Contender. Prat puts this one in with a chance.

  • #1 IMAGINE JOHN (12-1): Underneath. May be able find the right setup.

  • #3 HONEY DUTCH (10-1): Underneath. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 4 – 2 – 1 – 3

The Plays:

  • Win: #4 at 6-5

  • Exacta: #4/2, 1

  • Trifecta: #4/2, 1, 3

Saratoga Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:13 PM ET; Allowance $110k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

  • #3 RAGTIME (9-5): Top pick. Should improve off the debut.

  • #1 POINTS IS POINTS (8-5): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

  • #4 ARTEMIS SOUND (5-1): Major Player. Could wear these ones down late.

  • #1A LIMES DON’T LIE (8-5): Major Player. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 3 – 1 – 4 – 1A

The Plays:

  • Win: #3 at 2-1

  • Exacta: #3/1, 4

  • Trifecta: #3/1, 4, 1A/1, 4, 1A

Saratoga Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:46 PM ET; Allowance $95k; 1 3/16 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.

  • #1 NORTH END LADY (5-2): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration.

  • #7 SUMMER WHIRL (9-5): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages.

  • #6 FROM HELLO (15-1): Contender. Should sit a good trip.

  • #4 NATIONAL ARCHIVE (3-1): Underneath. Could get the right setup.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 6 – 4

The Plays:

  • Win: #1 at 5-2

  • Exacta Box: 1, 7, 6

Saratoga Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:20 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 1 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

  • #5 EMBRACE TIME (5-2): Top pick. Prat puts this one in with a chance.

  • #9 GINGER ALE (9-5): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

  • #1 MATADORA (2-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.

  • #7 CONNECT THE STARS (8-1): Major Player. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.

Selections: 5 – 9 – 1 – 7

The Plays:

  • Win: #5 at 5-2

  • Exacta: #5/9, 1

  • Trifecta: #5/9, 1, 7/9, 1, 7

Saratoga Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:54 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #4 FILLY FREEDOM (8-5): Top pick. Should improve off the debut.

  • #8 PRACTICAL LOV (8-1): Major Player. Alvarado puts this one in with a chance.

  • #5 GIN’S BEACH ROAD (4-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.

  • #7 CELESTIAL SPEED (9-2): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 4 – 8 – 5 – 7

The Plays:

  • Win: #4 at 8-5

  • Exacta: #4/8, 5

  • Trifecta: #4/8, 5, 7

Saratoga Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:29 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $115k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 10 runners.

  • #8 FINAL VERDICT (7-2): Top pick. Davis puts this one in with a chance.

  • #2 BOAT’S A ROCKIN (9-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

  • #4 JUDGE DAVIS (9-2): Major Player. Strong speed rating.

  • #3 TWISTED FILIGREE (6-1): Major Player. Prat puts this one in with a chance.

Selections: 8 – 2 – 4 – 3

The Plays:

  • Win: #8 at 3-1

  • Exacta Box: 8, 2, 4

Saratoga Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 5:04 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $100k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #4 I’M WIDE AWAKE (3-1): Prime Win Player. Comes in with solid form.

  • #5 WHAT’S UP BRO (7-2): Contender. Looks fast enough off previous efforts.

  • #1 SHIPSATIONAL (10-1): Contender. Could wear these ones down late.

  • #2 BRACIOLE (10-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 1 – 2

The Plays:

  • Win: #4 at 3-1

  • Exacta: #4/5, 1

  • Trifecta: #4/5, 1, 2

Saratoga Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:38 PM ET; Kelso Stakes $175k; 1 M Turf; Field of 12 runners.

  • #2 INTELLECT (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition.

  • #4 DONEGAL MOMENTUM (5-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

  • #11 BANK FRENZY (8-5): Major Player. Strong speed figure.

  • #8 WIN FOR THE MONEY (6-1): Contender. Recent races are solid.

Selections: 2 – 4 – 11 – 8

The Plays:

  • Win: #2 at 3-1

  • Exacta: #2/4, 11

  • Trifecta: #2/4, 11, 8

Saratoga Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 6:13 PM ET; Belmont Oaks Invitational Stakes $500k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 7 runners.

  • #7 NITROGEN (4-5): Top pick. Ortiz and Casse team up on this one.

  • #6 MAY DAY READY (10-1): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well.

  • #5 FIONN (5-1): Major Player. Could get a great trip.

  • #4 VIRGIN COLADA (8-1): Contender. Ortiz and Brown team up.

Selections: 7 – 6 – 5 – 4

The Plays:

  • Win: #7 at 4-5

  • Exacta: #7/6, 5

  • Trifecta: #7/6, 5, 4

Saratoga Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 6:48 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $42k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

  • #11 CAPT JAX PARROW (9-5): Top pick. Class relief and heart.

  • #6 ALLOFASUDDENLEE (9-2): Major Player. Should still be running strong.

  • #3 MAMA’S MIDDIE (8-1): Contender. Strong speed figure.

  • #9 NINE N FOUR (20-1): Contender. Could surprise late.

Selections: 11 – 6 – 3 – 9

The Plays:

  • Win: #11 at 9-5

  • Exacta: #11/6, 3

  • Trifecta: #11/6, 3, 9

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