The racing action from Saratoga on Saturday features the Alabama Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales. @HandicappingT3 has all the Saratoga picks for the entire card!
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Saratoga Full Card Analysis
Saratoga Picks: Alabama Stakes (08/16/2025)
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Saratoga Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:35 PM ET; Starter Allowance $75k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
• #4 HOUSE UNITED (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.
• #1A ZIPPY MARK (4-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
• #5 SWEETALKINGBOURBON (7-2): Major Player. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
• #6 INDY MAGIC (7-2): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 4 – 1A – 5 – 6
The Plays
Win: #4 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 4, 1A, 5
Saratoga Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:10 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $90k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
• #1 VICTORY HALL (5-2): Top pick. Favorable class relief in this spot. Strong early pace figs.
• #3 AVERY’S WONDERLAND (4-1): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #6 BELLORO (7-2): Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races. Previous success in similar race types.
• #7 PINKY BRIER (9-2): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 1 – 3 – 6 – 7
The Plays
Win: #1 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 1, 3
Saratoga Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:45 PM ET; Claiming $68k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
• #2 TREATY OBLIGATION (5-2): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Stamina to outlast the competition.
• #1 MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT (3-1): Major Player. Seems to be up against the right competition. Should still be running strong in the closing stages.
• #3 GUN IT (4-1): Major Player. Has experience at this level.
• #4 STOLEN BASE (5-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.
Selections: 2 – 1 – 3 – 4
The Plays
Win: #2 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 2, 1, 3
Saratoga Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:20 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
• #6 TENNESSEE BELLE (7-5): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Favorable class relief in this spot.
• #4 NONNA TERESA (7-2): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #5 COGNITION (4-1): Contender. Davis and Brown team up on this one. Previous success in similar race types.
• #2 RUN WILD (15-1): Contender. Bloodlines fit this race. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 6 – 4 – 5 – 2
The Plays
Win: #6 at 3-2
Exacta: 6/ 4,5
Saratoga Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:54 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $110k; 1 3/8 M Turf; Field of 12 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
• #3 OUTSOURCE (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Barn has been solid. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
• #2 AMBITION (10-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
• #4 FUERTEVENTURA (2-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
• #5 IL SICILIANO (4-1): Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Recent races are solid.
Selections: 3 – 2 – 4 – 5
The Plays
Win: #3 at 4-1
Exacta: 3/ 4,5
Saratoga Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:29 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 10 runners.
• #10 SHOULD’VE (7-2): Top pick. Solid breeding for this spot. Rosario puts this one in with a chance.
• #8 BIBI DAHL (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Trainer is having a great meet.
• #7 SADIE EARP (9-2): Major Player. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Should sit a good trip.
• #3 KETO DRINK (5-2): Contender. Recent races are solid. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.
Selections: 10 – 8 – 7 – 3
The Plays
Win: #10 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 10, 8, 7
Saratoga Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:03 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
• #2 RENEGADE (4-1): Top pick. Favorable class relief in this spot. Proven competitor at this configuration.
• #4 HERO DECLARED (5-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #7 FOREVER MAN (8-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. Likely in the mix early.
• #3 ALGHERO (6-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 2 – 4 – 7 – 3
The Plays
Win: #2 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 2, 4, 7
Saratoga Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:37 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $100k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
• #4 CICCIOBELLO (9-2): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Fits well with this group.
• #9 CUT THE CORD (6-1): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Carmouche and Giangiulio team up on this one.
• #2 MIGHTY ATLAS (15-1): Contender. Has experience at this level. Barn has been sending out runners.
• #3 GET A JOB (7-2): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 4 – 9 – 2 – 3
The Plays
Win: #4 at 3-1
Exacta: 4/ 9,3
Pick 3 (races 8-10): #4,9,2 with #2 with #6,2,3
Saratoga Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:11 PM ET; Skidmore Stakes $150k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 8 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
• #2 SANDAL’S SONG (2-1): Best bet of the card. Could be ready for a top effort. Solid closing kick. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
• #3 MONSTER (8-1): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Good race flow for this runner.
• #8 SPIRIT OF NEW YORK (7-2): Contender. Should sit a good trip. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.
• #1 SCHWARZENEGGER (4-1): Contender. Top connections on the circuit with Velazquez and Ward.
Selections: 2 – 3 – 8 – 1
The Plays
Win: #2 at 1-1
Exacta: 2/ 8,1
Saratoga Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:44 PM ET; Alabama Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales $600k; 1 1/4 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
• #6 LA CARA (5-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Strong early pace figs.
• #2 GOOD CHEER (8-5): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Looks fast enough off previous efforts.
• #3 KINZIE QUEEN (15-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
• #1 MARGIE’S INTENTION (8-1): Contender. Should still have enough if the reserves if there in the final furlong. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 6 – 2 – 3 – 1
The Plays
Win: #6 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 6, 2
Saratoga Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 6:17 PM ET; Claiming $50k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.
• #1 ASSERTIVENESS (2-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Favorable class relief in this spot.
• #2 DAKOTA COUNTRY (5-1): Major Player. Rosario puts this one in with a chance. Speed figures match this group well.
• #7 LANDMAN FRIDAY (6-1): Major Player. Potential to kick home late. Speed figs match up nicely.
• #5 MO GO (9-2): Contender. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 1 – 2 – 7 – 5
The Plays
Win: #1 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 1, 2, 7
Saratoga Picks – Race 12
Post Time: 6:49 PM ET; Allowance $95k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 12 runners.
• #2 NOT FOR HIRE (3-1): Top pick. Solid closing kick.
• #12 VEKINDA (3-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #5 COURTLY BANKER (9-2): Major Player. Could wear these ones down late.
• #10 PAY THE JUICE (4-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.
Selections: 2 – 12 – 5 – 10
The Plays
Win: #2 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 2, 12, 5
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