Kentucky Downs Picks: Kentucky Downs Turf Sprint (08/30/2025)

The racing action from Kentucky Downs on Saturday features the Mint Kentucky Turf Sprint Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Kentucky Downs picks for the entire card!

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Kentucky Downs Full Card Analysis

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Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 11:25 AM CT; Maiden Special Weight $170k; 1 M Turf; Field of 13 runners.

• #1 IN THE STARS (7-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Favorable class relief in this spot.
• #7 TAKE NOTE OF THIS (20-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #4 CHAMPAGNE BRUNCH (9-2): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Previous success in similar race types.
• #10 RUNNING GAME (3-1): Major Player. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 4 – 10

The Plays

Win: #1 at 3-1

Exacta Box: 1,4,10

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 11:57 AM CT; Maiden Special Weight $170k; 1 M Turf; Field of 13 runners.

• #2 LA DOLCE VITA (7-2): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Looks good based on the 82 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
• #11 BOHEMIAN (9-2): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet.
• #5 SECRETLY DELIGHTED (10-1): Major Player. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Previous success in similar race types.
• #4 ONTOLOGY (5-1): Major Player. Should still have enough if the reserves if there in the final furlong. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 2 – 11 – 5 – 4

The Plays

Win: #2 at 3-1

Exacta: 2/ 4,11

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 12:29 PM CT; Allowance Optional Claiming $200k; 6 1/2 F Turf; Field of 11 runners.

• #6 READY TO JAM (6-5): Prime Win Player. Barn has been solid. Solid closing kick.
• #1 MILLIAT (7-2): Contender. Can run with these. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
• #4 HIDEKI (20-1): Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races. Has experience at this level.
• #2 MEAN EILEEN (9-2): Fringe Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Top connections on the circuit with Ortiz and Sharp.

Selections: 6 – 1 – 4 – 2

The Plays

Win: #6 at 5-4

Exacta: 6/ 1,2

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 1:01 PM CT; Allowance $190k; 6 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #16 HIT THAT REVIEW (8-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Barn has been solid.
• #2 FLOODLITES (8-1): Major Player. Alvarado puts this one in with a chance. Can run with these.
• #6 FLAT TO DA MAT (10-1): Major Player. Has experience at this level.
• #14 ITS BOURBON THIRTY (5-1): Major Player. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.

Selections: 16 – 2 – 6 – 14

The Plays

Win: #16 at 4-1

Trifecta: 16/ 2,14/ 2,6,14

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 1:33 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $170k; 6 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #12 SENORA D’ORO (6-1): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Favorable class relief in this spot.
• #1 TEXAS QUEEN (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #16 TEMPTING EVE (9-2): Contender. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Previous success in similar race types.
• #3 POINTSETMATCH (9-2): Contender. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 12 – 1 – 16 – 3

The Plays

Win: #12 at 5-2

Exacta: 12/ 1,3

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 2:05 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $170k; 6 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #3 BEER RUN (3-1): Prime Win Player. Solid breeding for this spot. Should be able to work out a trip.
• #10 MARY’S LAD (8-1): Fringe Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Good race flow for this runner.
• #16 WAR LEGEND (6-1): Fringe Contender. Previous success in similar race types. Barn has been sending out runners.
• #7 MR BOBO (9-2): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 3 – 10 – 16 – 7

The Plays

Win: #3 at 9-5

Exacta: 3/ 7,16

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 2:37 PM CT; Mountain Dew Bowling Green Gold Cup Invitational Stakes $1000k; 2 1/16 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.

• #4 LIMITED LIABILITY (2-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid.
• #1 GOLDENEYE (10-1): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #6 LORD EDDARD STARK (30-1): Major Player. Castellano and Orseno team up on this one. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
• #3 TAWNY PORT (9-2): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Fast enough on paper to compete.

Selections: 4 – 1 – 6 – 3

The Plays

Win: #4 at 8-5

Exacta: 4/ 1,3

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 3:14 PM CT; Never Say Die Ladies Turf Sprint Stakes $2000k; 6 1/2 F Turf; Field of 12 runners.

• #6 AG BULLET (7-5): Best bet of the card. Could be ready for a top effort. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
• #11 KEHOE BEACH (7-2): Major Player. Top connections on the circuit with Ortiz and Ward.
• #1 LUNAR IMPACT (20-1): Contender. Not likely to be short in the stretch.
• #4 DANSE MACABRE (15-1): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 6 – 11 – 1 – 4

The Plays

Win: #6 at 1-1

Exacta: 6/ 11

Pick 3 (races 8-10): #6 with #2,7,11 with 2,11

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 3:52 PM CT; Mint Kentucky Turf Sprint Stakes $2000k; 6 F Turf; Field of 15 runners.

• #2 HOWARD WOLOWITZ (7-2): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Proven competitor at this configuration.
• #7 ARREST ME RED (5-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Should take a liking to the race shape.
• #11 NOBALS (6-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. Barn has been sending out runners.
• #10 PIPSY (12-1): Contender. Recent races are solid. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 2 – 7 – 11 – 10

The Plays

Win: #2 at 5-2

Exacta: 2/ 7,11

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 4:46 PM CT; DK Horse Nashville Derby Invitational Stakes $3500k; 1 5/16 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.

• #2 TEST SCORE (4-1): Top pick. Looks good based on the 103 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Solid closing kick.
• #11 FINAL GAMBIT (8-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Looks fast enough off previous efforts.
• #9 NOBLE CONFESSOR (20-1): Contender. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.
• #7 TIZTASTIC (20-1): Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 2 – 11 – 9 – 7

The Plays

Win: #2 at 5-2

Exacta: 2/ 11

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:25 PM CT; Resolute Racing Ladies Turf Stakes $2000k; 1 M Turf; Field of 11 runners.

• #7 SACRED WISH (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Barn has been solid. Franco puts this one in with a chance. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
• #11 MOVIN’ ON UP (10-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Should still be running strong in the closing stages.
• #2 SPECIAL WAN (7-2): Major Player. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish. May be able find the right setup.
• #10 PIN UP BETTY (8-1): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 7 – 11 – 2 – 10

The Plays

Win: #7 at 4-1

Trifecta: 7/ 2,11/ 2,10,11

Kentucky Downs Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 5:57 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $170k; 6 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #8 SECRET MARRIAGE (6-1): Top pick. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance. Looks good based on the 75 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
• #16 HIGH HONORS (12-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Good race flow for this runner.
• #15 ORBIT (4-1): Major Player. Speed figs match up nicely. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
• #4 DROP SHOT (9-2): Major Player. Bloodlines fit this race. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 8 – 16 – 15 – 4

The Plays

Win: #8 at 4-1

Trifecta: 8/ 4,15/ 4,15,16

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Thursday Analysis

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Saturday Analysis

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• Saratoga Picks featuring the Grade 1 Spinaway Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)

Sunday Analysis

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