Keeneland Picks: Saturday Hagyard Fayette Stakes (10/25/2025)

Keeneland Offers Three Breeders’ Cup Bids Saturday, October 7 cover

The racing action from Keeneland on Saturday features the Hagyard Fayette Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Keeneland picks for the entire card!

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Keeneland Full Card Analysis

Keeneland Picks: Saturday Hagyard Fayette Stakes (10/25/2025)

Keeneland Picks: Saturday Hagyard Fayette Stakes (10/25/2025)

Keeneland Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Starter Allowance $69k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

  • #10 COLONIAL ROSE (5-2): Prime Win Player. Favorable class relief in this spot. Strong early pace figs.
  • #6 MERCY WARREN (7-2): Contender. Good race flow for this runner.
  • #12 OUR LIBERTY BELLE (9-2): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Speed figs match up nicely.
  • #3 ROMANTIC DANCER (6-1): Contender. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 10 – 6 – 12 – 3

The Plays

Win: #10 at 3-2

Exacta: 10/ 6,12

Keeneland Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.

  • #8 IRISH LAW (4-1): Top pick. Solid breeding for this spot. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance.
  • #10 MAGINNESONTAP (5-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
  • #11 MASSACHUSETTS (10-1): Fringe Contender. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
  • #9 FREESTATE (8-1): Fringe Contender. Should still have enough if the reserves if there in the final furlong. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 8 – 10 – 11 – 9

The Plays

Win: #8 at 3-1

Exacta: 8/ 10,9

Keeneland Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 2:04 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $140k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.

  • #6 OUR PRETTY WOMAN (1-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Fits well with this group.
  • #3 CHILLED (6-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Should still be running strong in the closing stages.
  • #2 CAT’S CAVE (8-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Barn has been sending out runners.
  • #5 LOW COUNTRY MAGIC (4-1): Major Player. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 2 – 5

The Plays

Win: #6 at 5-2

Exacta: 6/ 3,5

Keeneland Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:36 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $78k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

  • #2 SONIC SASS (6-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid.
  • #10 EASY KISS (12-1): Major Player. Can run with these. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
  • #5 GRACIE’S DELIGHT (4-1): Contender. Has been running well enough recently. Likely in the mix early.
  • #14 NO TIME LEFT (15-1): Contender. May be a better effort in the 2nd start. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 2 – 10 – 5 – 14

The Plays

Win: #2 at 5-2

Exacta: 2/ 10,5

Keeneland Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 3:08 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

  • #9 MOUNT HOREB (5-2): Best bet of the card. Fits well with this group. Looks good based on the 90 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
  • #7 OPERATION TORCH (8-1): Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. Trainer is having a great meet.
  • #10 SWIRLING EIGHTS (9-2): Contender. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #12 BITE AND STRIKE (6-1): Contender. Recent races are solid. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 9 – 7 – 10 – 12

The Plays

Win: #9 at 1-1

Exacta: 9/ 10,12

Pick 3 (races 5-7): #9 with #3,1 with #1,6, 3

Keeneland Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:40 PM ET; Bowman Mill Stakes $250k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

  • #3 OUTFIELDER (3-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Dettori puts this one in with a chance.
  • #1 HEARTILY (5-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Likely to get forward position.
  • #5 SPUN D M C (9-5): Contender. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. May be able find the right setup.
  • #6 GALLIVANT (7-2): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 3 – 1 – 5 – 6

The Plays

Win: #3 at 5-2

Exacta: 3/ 1,6

Keeneland Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 4:12 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $130k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #1 QUICKICK (3-1): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Looks good based on the 92 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
  • #6 PARIS LILY (2-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Seems to be up against the right competition.
  • #3 SWEET SERAPHINE (10-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #4 DISCO RULES (8-1): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 6 – 3 – 4

The Plays

Win: #1 at 5-2

Exacta Box: 1,6,3

Keeneland Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:44 PM ET; Bryan Station Stakes $600k; 1 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.

  • #4 TROUBLESHOOTING (6-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Barn has been solid.
  • #3 ANTISOCIAL (15-1): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Trainer is having a great meet.
  • #6 DREAM ON (20-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
  • #13 DAY AND AGE (20-1): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 4 – 3 – 6 – 13

The Plays

Win: #4 at 5-2

Exacta Box: 4,3,6

Keeneland Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 5:16 PM ET; Hagyard Fayette Stakes $350k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

Longshot Play of the Day

  • #11 HIT SHOW (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Could be ready for a top effort. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
  • #10 GOSGER (9-2): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
  • #6 RATTLE N ROLL (12-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners.
  • #8 PRINCE OF POWER (30-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Competitive enough in recent efforts.

Selections: 11 – 10 – 6 – 8

The Plays

Win: #11 at 5-1

Trifecta: 11/ 10,6/ 6,8,10

Keeneland Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:48 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.

  • #6 TRITON (10-1): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Race sets up perfectly.
  • #1 CHAMBERSVILLE (7-2): Major Player. Productive recent form. Trainer is having a great meet.
  • #4 WARGAMER (6-1): Major Player. Pedigree fits in this spot. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
  • #12 EPIC HORSEPOWER (9-2): Major Player. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Juarez and Lynch team up on this one.

Selections: 6 – 1 – 4 – 12

The Plays

Win: #6 at 5-2

Exacta Box: 6,1,12

Betting News Horse Racing Coverage

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Friday

  • Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 2 Valley View Stakes

Saturday Analysis

  • Belmont at the Big A Picks featuring the Iroquois Stakes
  • Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 3 Hagyard Fayette Stakes
  • Santa Anita Picks featuring the Grade 2 Twilight Derby

Sunday Analysis