The racing action from Keeneland on Saturday features the Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Keeneland picks for the entire card!
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Keeneland Full Card Analysis
Keeneland Picks: Saturday Coolmore Turf Mile (10/04/2025)
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Keeneland Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #1 QUICK TO CHARM (6-5): Prime Win Player. Barn has been solid.
- #5 CRAWFORD (15-1): Contender. Ortiz and Oliver team up on this one. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
- #6 MERRY MADISON (3-1): Contender. Should sit a good trip. Machado and Bauer team up on this one.
- #4 GET BACK LORETTA (4-1): Fringe Contender. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 1 – 5 – 6 – 4
The Plays
Win: #1 at 6-5
Exacta: 1/ 6,4
Pick 3 (race 1-3): #1 with #2,6,12 with #6
Keeneland Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
- #2 COMMANDMENT (7-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Favorable class relief in this spot.
- #6 INORDINARY (10-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Good race flow for this runner.
- #12 LOCAL KNOWLEDGE (4-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
- #3 MIDNIGHT ROCKET (8-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 2 – 6 – 12 – 3
The Plays
Win: #2 at 5-2
Exacta: 2/ 6,12
Keeneland Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 2:04 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
- #6 OSCAR’S HOPE (7-5): Best bet of the card. Barn has been solid. Should be able to work out a trip. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #5 PAPA KEN (8-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #2 SOMETIME (30-1): Contender. Potential to have this pace fall just right. Machado and Simms team up on this one.
- #3 IMAGINE JOHN (15-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 6 – 5 – 2 – 3
The Plays
Win: #6 at 1-1
Exacta: 6/ 5,3
Keeneland Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:36 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
- #15 WRITE OFF JERRY (6-1): Prime Win Player. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly.
- #8 ENTERDADRAGON (20-1): Contender. Speed figures match this group well. Stamina to be in the mix late.
- #5 STATES’ RIGHTS (8-1): Contender. Speed figs match up nicely. Has experience at this level.
- #6 ROCKY JOY (6-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 15 – 8 – 5 – 6
The Plays
Win: #15 at 5-1
Exacta: 15/ 5,6
Keeneland Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 3:08 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $130k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #7 ECHO AGAIN (9-5): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
- #8 DEER DISTRICT (15-1): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner. Velazquez and Stewart team up on this one.
- #5 ROOKIE CARD (7-2): Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races. Could wear these ones down late.
- #4 EGLISE (8-1): Contender. Gaffalione and Maker team up on this one. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 7 – 8 – 5 – 4
The Plays
Win: #7 at 5-2
Exacta: 7/ 5,4
Keeneland Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:40 PM ET; Woodford Stakes Presented by FanDuel $400k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 9 runners.
- #1 ARREST ME RED (9-2): Top pick. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Should be able to work out a trip.
- #9 SCRIPT (20-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
- #7 GOVERNOR SAM (6-1): Major Player. May be able find the right setup. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.
- #5 DONCHO (3-1): Contender. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance. Ortiz and Lovell team up on this one.
Selections: 1 – 9 – 7 – 5
The Plays
Win: #1 at 5-2
Exacta: 1/ 7,5
Keeneland Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:12 PM ET; Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes $400k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #7 ZEITLOS (9-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #5 VAHVA (7-5): Major Player. Seems to be up against the right competition. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #3 HALINA’S FORTE (8-1): Major Player. Has experience at this level.
- #1 TAXED (20-1): Contender. Recent races are solid.
Selections: 7 – 5 – 3 – 1
The Plays
Win: #7 at 5-2
Exacta: 7/ 5,3
Keeneland Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:44 PM ET; First Lady Stakes $800k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
- #5 DYNAMIC PRICING (4-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Should be able to work out a trip.
- #13 SPECIAL WAN (7-2): Major Player. Running well of late.
- #14 DEEP SATIN (8-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. Potential to kick home late.
- #10 OZARA (6-1): Major Player. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 5 – 13 – 14 – 10
The Plays
Win: #5 at 3-1
Exacta Box: 5,13,14
Keeneland Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:16 PM ET; Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity $650k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #6 TED NOFFEY (4-5): Top pick. Looks good based on the 102 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Strong early pace figs.
- #5 LITMUS TEST (8-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Seems to be up against the right competition.
- #2 BIG DOM (4-1): Major Player. This one’s a fighter in the late stages. Speed figs match up nicely.
- #1 BLACKOUT TIME (10-1): Contender. Could be griding down the competition late. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.
Selections: 6 – 5 – 2 – 1
The Plays
Win: #6 at 4-5
Exacta: 6/ 5,2
Keeneland Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:48 PM ET; Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes $1250k; 1 M Turf; Field of 12 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
- #3 HOWARD WOLOWITZ (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Fits well with this group. Jaramillo and D’Angelo team up on this one. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
- #8 PROGRAM TRADING (9-2): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Can run with these.
- #10 BRILLIANT BERTI (8-1): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Previous success in similar race types.
- #11 BEACH GOLD (30-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 10 – 11
The Plays
Win: #3 at 5-1
Trifecta: 3/ 8,10/ 8,10,11
Keeneland Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 6:20 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
- #8 STORMFORGED (6-1): Prime Win Player. Should improve off the debut. Barn has been solid.
- #11 LIBERTY VALANCE (5-1): Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 HEARTILY (3-1): Fringe Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #5 STEEL GOLDEN (12-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 8 – 11 – 2 – 5
The Plays
Win: #8 at 5-1
Exacta: 8/ 11,2
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
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Friday
- Belmont at the Big A Picks featuring the Grade 2 Pilgrim Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
- Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Alcibiades Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
Saturday Analysis
- Belmont at the Big A Picks featuring the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
- Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Coolmore Turf Mile (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
- Santa Anita Picks featuring the Grade 1 American Pharoah Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
Stay tuned to Betting News throughout the fall for wall to wall coverage of the Breeders’ Cup which take place Friday, October 31 and Saturday, November 1, 2025.