The racing action from Keeneland on Friday features the Darley Alcibiades Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Keeneland picks for the entire card!
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Keeneland Full Card Analysis
Keeneland Picks: Friday Alcibiades Stakes (10/03/2025)
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Keeneland Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Starter Allowance $55k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #4 INDY LABEL (9-5): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Barn has been solid.
- #2 MISS ELLARY (7-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
- #6 I HAD THAT ONE TOO (6-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Should sit a good trip.
- #7 NERAZURRI (5-2): Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.
Selections: 4 – 2 – 6 – 7
The Plays
Win: #4 at 5-2
Exacta: 4/ 2,7
Keeneland Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $55k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
- #8 PERFECT AUDIBLE (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
- #11 STATE CONCEAL (10-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #10 FREE CHOICE (20-1): Contender. Potential to have this pace fall just right.
- #6 ALEXANDER K (6-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 8 – 11 – 10 – 6
The Plays
Win: #8 at 5-1
Trifecta: 8/ 11,6/ 6,10,11
Keeneland Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 2:04 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.
- #1 TURNER’S CHARM (8-1): Top pick. Looks good based on the 76 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Barn has been solid.
- #6 SNEAKILY (9-5): Major Player. Comes home strong. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
- #5 TRUST ACCOUNT (9-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.
- #10 ATLANTIC BEACH (10-1): Contender. Recent races are solid. Fast enough on paper to compete.
Selections: 1 – 6 – 5 – 10
The Plays
Win: #1 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 1,6,5
Keeneland Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:36 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #1 KINGSOLVER (3-1): Top pick. Should be able to work out a trip. Fits well with this group.
- #7 DONNA ROMANO (9-5): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #6 PROWESS (10-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
- #8 TIZ IN SIGHT (12-1): Major Player. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 1 – 7 – 6 – 8
The Plays
Win: #1 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 1,7,6
Keeneland Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 3:08 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
- #10 BARB (5-1): Top pick. Races competitive with the top contenders. Stamina to outlast the competition.
- #6 DIVINE JUSTICE (9-5): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
- #3 NU WHAT’S NEW (4-1): Major Player. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #5 HITCHCOCK (8-1): Major Player. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 10 – 6 – 3 – 5
The Plays
Win: #10 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 10,6,3
Keeneland Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:40 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
- #14 CLIFFS (3-1): Best bet of the card. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Solid closing kick. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #12 MODERN SOUND (5-1): Major Player. Prat puts this one in with a chance. Running well of late.
- #6 IN THE STARS (5-2): Contender. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
- #2 HEAR THE QUEEN (7-2): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 14 – 12 – 6 – 2
The Plays
Win: #14 at 1-1
Exacta: 14/ 12,6
Pick 3 (races 6-8): #14 with #3,5,4 with #12,14,2,13
Keeneland Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:12 PM ET; Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes $400k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #3 SKELLY (3-1): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Looks good based on the 109 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #5 NAKATOMI (5-2): Major Player. Running well of late. Top connections on the circuit with Ortiz and Ward.
- #4 WORLD RECORD (8-5): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
- #2 WHATCHATALKINABOUT (6-1): Major Player. Could be griding down the competition late. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.
Selections: 3 – 5 – 4 – 2
The Plays
Win: #3 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 3,5,4
Keeneland Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:44 PM ET; Jessamine Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales $400k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.
- #12 TIME TO DREAM (2-1): Top pick. Race may setup for this runner.
- #14 DYNA (6-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Comes home strong.
- #2 MACKINAC (9-2): Major Player. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish. Should sit a good trip.
- #13 SOLOIST (10-1): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 12 – 14 – 2 – 13
The Plays
Win: #12 at 5-2
Exacta Box: 12,14,2
Keeneland Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:16 PM ET; Darley Alcibiades Stakes $650k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #3 TOMMY JO (2-5): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly.
- #1 PERCY’S BAR (3-1): Major Player. Seems to be up against the right competition. Machado and Colebrook team up on this one.
- #4 THE GRUMPY RABBIT (12-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. May be able find the right setup.
- #5 HAUTE DIVA (6-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.
Selections: 3 – 1 – 4 – 5
The Plays
Win: #3 at 1-2
Exacta: 3/ 1,4
Keeneland Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:48 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.
- #4 BEACH BALLAD (7-2): Top pick. Looks good based on the 78 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Barn has been solid.
- #10 MARKET CHILL (5-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #9 LOTTA ALPHA (30-1): Contender. Should sit a good trip.
- #6 COVE SPRING (12-1): Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 4 – 10 – 9 – 6
The Plays
Win: #4 at 5-2
Exacta: 4/ 10,6
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Don’t miss all the horse racing action covered by Betting News each and every week. Coverage includes free handicapping tools, comprehensive guides, and in-depth analysis of the week’s biggest cards. Check out our full card analysis for this week’s upcoming big races.
Friday
- Belmont at the Big A Picks featuring the Grade 2 Pilgrim Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
- Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Alcibiades Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
Saturday Analysis
- Belmont at the Big A Picks featuring the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
- Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Coolmore Turf Mile (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
- Santa Anita Picks featuring the Grade 1 American Pharoah Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
Stay tuned to Betting News throughout the fall for wall to wall coverage of the Breeders’ Cup which take place Friday, October 31 and Saturday, November 1, 2025.