Keeneland Picks- Closing Friday Analysis (4/25/2025)

The racing action from Keeneland on Friday features the Bewitch Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales. @HandicappingT3 has all the Keeneland picks for the entire card!

Full Card Analysis

Keeneland Picks- Closing Friday Analysis (4/25/2025)

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Keeneland Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:30 PM ET; Claiming $49k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

#3 DAY DAWNING (7-5): Prime Win Player. Favorable class relief in this spot. Barn has been solid.
#6 ASH WEDNESDAY (2-1): Contender. Trainer is having a great meet. Likely to get forward position.
#2 CHAMPAGNE ON ICE (6-1): Worth a look. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Speed figs match up nicely.
#5 CEEBEE (8-1): Fringe Contender. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 2 – 5

The Plays

Win: #3 at 3-2 or better
Exacta: 3/2,4,5,6
Trifecta: 3/2,6/2,4,5,6

Keeneland Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:01 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $90k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

#9 CINNAMON SUGAR (20-1): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort.
#15 ESTRELLA SILVER (30-1): Major Player. Likely to take a step forward.
#12 STORM CLOUD RISING (20-1): Contender. Should step forward from the first start. Barn has been sending out runners.
#3 SWEET ESPRESSO (50-1): Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.

Selections: 9 – 15 – 12 – 3

The Plays

Win/Place/Show: #9

Keeneland Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $54k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

#5 VICKI ROSE (9-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 78 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
#3 SPLENDID (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Good race flow for this runner. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
#7 RAGTIME SIZZLE (7-2): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
#2 SCYTHIA (5-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 5 – 3 – 7 – 2

The Plays

Win: #5 at 2-1 or better
Win: #3 at 2-1 or better
Exacta Box: 3,5,7

Keeneland Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:03 PM ET; Claiming $57k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

#1 HIGHER STANDARD (3-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Fits well with this group.
#7 UNCASHED (5-2): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Should take a liking to the race shape.
#4 FORGIVING SPIRIT (6-1): Worth a look. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Barn has been sending out runners.
#5 JUNIOR BUG (9-2): Fringe Contender. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 4 – 5

The Plays

Win: #1 at 2-1 or better
Win: #7 at 2-1 or better
Exacta Box: 1,7

Keeneland Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:34 PM ET; Allowance $130k; 1 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.

#2 BUTTERCREAM BABE (9-2): Prime Win Player. Proven competitor at this configuration. Races competitive with the top contenders.
#8 SWEET REBECCA (7-2): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
#1 DEEP SATIN (3-1): Worth a look. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Could wear these ones down late.
#4 GHOSTLY GAL (20-1): Fringe Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Fast enough on paper to compete.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 1 – 4

The Plays

Win: #2 at 9-5 or better
Exacta: 2/3,4
Trifecta: 2/3,4,8/1,3,4,8

Keeneland Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:05 PM ET; Allowance $120k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

#1 TIARELLA (9-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Should be able to work out a trip.
#5 SAM’S TREASURE (2-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Good race flow for this runner.
#3 ZADORSKY (3-1): Major Player. Speed figs match up nicely. Barn has been sending out runners.
#4 ROMAN GRACE (15-1): Major Player. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 1 – 5 – 3 – 4

The Plays

Win: #1 at 3-1 or better
Exacta Key Box: 1/3,5

Keeneland Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:36 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

#2 CAMPAIGN TRAIL (10-1): Top pick. Races competitive with the top contenders. Comes in with solid form.
#9 WHITE WHALE (8-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Should take a liking to the race shape.
#7 LIFES REWARD (5-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
#5 ARTHUR JR (20-1): Major Player. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 2 – 9 – 7 – 5

The Plays

Win: #2 at 3-1 or better
Exacta Box: 2,7,9

Keeneland Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:07 PM ET; Bewitch Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales $350k; 1 1/2 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

#2 IMMENSITUDE (5-2): Prime Win Player. Looks good based on the 89 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Stamina to outlast the competition.
#3 FOREVER AFTER ALL (9-5): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
#8 STRIKINGLY SPUN (8-1): Contender. Has experience at this level. Should sit a good trip.
#1 DAZZLIN’ DICTATOR (20-1): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 2 – 3 – 8 – 1

The Plays

Win: #2 at 8-5 or better
Exacta: 2/1,3,8
Trifecta: 2/1,3,8/1,3,8
Pick 3: 2/1/2,4,11,13

Keeneland Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:38 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $140k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

#1 UNMATCHED WISDOM (6-5): Best bet of the card. Fits well with this group. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
#7 BLACK POWDER (8-1): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Seems to be up against the right competition.
#2 WILL TAKE IT (4-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level. Previous success in similar race types.
#9 DUBYUHNELL (6-1): Fringe Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 2 – 9

The Plays

Win: #1 at 8-5 or better
Exacta: 1/2,7,9
Trifecta: 1/2,7/2,3,7,9

Keeneland Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:09 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

#4 TEMPUS VOLAT (12-1): Prime Win Player. Favorable class relief in this spot.
#11 SUMOOD (4-1): Fringe Contender. Running well of late. Seems to be up against the right competition.
#2 SWEET FREEDOM (15-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.
#13 VIVALDI (7-2): Fringe Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 4 – 11 – 2 – 13

The Plays

Win/Place/Show: #4
Exacta Box: 2,4,11,13

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