The racing action from Colonial Downs on Saturday features the Old Dominion Derby. @HandicappingT3 has all the Colonial Downs picks for the entire card!
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Colonial Downs Full Card Analysis
Colonial Downs Picks: Old Dominion Derby (09/06/2025)
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Colonial Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:00 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $40k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 8 runners.
- #8 THUNDER MURPHY (7-2): Prime Win Player. Barn has been solid. Torres puts this one in with a chance.
- #4 JESSICA’S EYES (5-2): Contender. Centeno puts this one in with a chance. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #6 ROCKY LAGOON (4-1): Fringe Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Speed figs match up nicely.
- #3 THE BIG BEN (8-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 8 – 4 – 6 – 3
The Plays
Win: #8 at 5-2
Exacta: 8/ 4,6
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 12:28 PM ET; Claiming $34.5k; 1 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.
- #1 FERAL’S JOY (2-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Top connections on the circuit with Lopez and Duarte.
- #2 SWEET TONE (4-1): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Seems to be up against the right competition.
- #5 MEISTERSINGER (9-2): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Speed figs match up nicely.
- #7 LORD DONEGAL (6-1): Fringe Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Should still have enough if the reserves if there in the final furlong.
Selections: 1 – 2 – 5 – 7
The Plays
Win: #1 at 5-2
Exacta: 1/ 2,5
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 12:58 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $70k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #3 G Q WORTHY (6-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Stamina to outlast the competition.
- #5 S S QUALITY (2-1): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 POWER GRID (7-2): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Likely in the mix early.
- #4 MIZNER (3-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 3 – 5 – 2 – 4
The Plays
Win: #3 at 3-1
Exacta: 3/ 2,5
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 1:30 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $32k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 13 runners.
- #2 PIETRELCINA (4-1): Top pick. Top connections on the circuit with Carmouche and Hodsdon. Races competitive with the top contenders.
- #3 GRAND LIAM (5-2): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
- #10 GORDITO (5-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #4 THATSMYBOXER (30-1): Fringe Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 2 – 3 – 10 – 4
The Plays
Win: #2 at 5-2
Exacta: 2/ 3,10
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:03 PM ET; Kitten’s Joy Stakes $125k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 7 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
- #6 TOUGH CRITIC (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Races that could beat these. Cancel and Weaver team up on this one. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
- #7 JUTLAND (2-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #3 SMOLS (12-1): Contender. May be able find the right setup. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #1 CASA CIELO (5-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.
Selections: 6 – 7 – 3 – 1
The Plays
Win: #6 at 4-1
Exacta: 6/ 1,7
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 2:35 PM ET; Colonial Cup Stakes $150k; 1 1/2 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.
- #4 TRULY QUALITY (3-1): Prime Win Player. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Looks good based on the 93 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #7 TWIRLING POINT (7-2): Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
- #5 DEAR DAD (9-2): Fringe Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #6 SAFE TRIP HOME (10-1): Fringe Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 4 – 7 – 5 – 6
The Plays
Win: #4 at 5-2
Exacta: 4/ 5,7
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:09 PM ET; Exacta Systems Rosie’s Stakes $125k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 10 runners.
- #3 CHASING MY DREAM (12-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #6 ROYAL TESTAMENT (5-1): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
- #4 FEAR (3-1): Fringe Contender. Has experience at this level. Potential to kick home late.
- #5 WINE CANDY (8-1): Fringe Contender. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field. Solid turn of foot.
Selections: 3 – 6 – 4 – 5
The Plays
Win: #3 at 7-2
Exacta: 3/ 4,6
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 3:44 PM ET; Da Hoss Stakes $150k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 9 runners.
- #5 WITTY (2-1): Top pick. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance. Barn has been solid.
- #9 ALOGON (5-2): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Running well of late.
- #7 OCEANIC (10-1): Major Player. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Previous success in similar race types.
- #6 MISTER MMMMM (5-1): Major Player. Trainer’s horses have been running. Carmouche puts this one in with a chance.
Selections: 5 – 9 – 7 – 6
The Plays
Win: #5 at 5-2
Exacta: 5/ 6,9
Pick 3 (races 8-10): #5,9,7,6 with #3,7,10 with #6
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:20 PM ET; Old Dominion Oaks $250k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.
- #3 SIGH NO MORE (5-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Looks good based on the 96 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #7 EVERSHED (2-1): Major Player. Productive recent form. Centeno and Delacour team up on this one.
- #10 WILL THEN (7-2): Major Player. Speed figs match up nicely. Should sit a good trip.
- #2 AS CATCH CAN (10-1): Major Player. Torres puts this one in with a chance. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 7 – 10 – 2
The Plays
Win: #3 at 4-1
Trifecta: 3/ 7,10/ 2,7,10
Colonial Downs Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 4:55 PM ET; Old Dominion Derby $500k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
- #6 WORLD BEATER (9-5): Best bet of the card. Should be able to work out a trip. Stamina to outlast the competition. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #7 THIRTEEN COLONIES (10-1): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Good race flow for this runner.
- #4 SOLEIL VOLANT (6-1): Contender. Should sit a good trip. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.
- #9 OUTRUNNER (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 6 – 7 – 4 – 9
The Plays
Win: #6 at 1-1
Exacta: 6/ 4
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Sunday Analysis
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