Colonial Downs Picks: Grade 1 Arlington Millions Stakes (08/09/2025)

The racing action from Colonial Downs on Saturday features the Arlington Million Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Colonial Downs picks for the entire card!

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Colonial Downs Full Card Analysis

Colonial Picks: Grade 1 Arlington Millions Stakes (08/09/2025)

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Colonial Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:00 PM ET; Claiming $50k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

#1 DEADPAN (10-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Should be able to work out a trip.
#4 CURLY LARRY AND MO (4-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
#3 CAP’N DUSTY (6-1): Major Player. Potential to have this pace fall just right. Barn has been sending out runners.
#8 DR. HYDE (12-1): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 3 – 8

The Plays

Win: #1 at 5-1

Exacta: 1/ 4,3,8

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 12:29 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $70k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

#4 NOTHING PERSONAL (3-1): Top pick. Top connections on the circuit with Rodriguez and Compton. Proven competitor at this configuration.
#8 SHARONS BEACH (5-1): Major Player. Curtis puts this one in with a chance. Can run with these.
#3 STREET STYLE (6-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Barn has been sending out runners.
#5 SWERVE (6-1): Major Player. Fast enough on paper to compete. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start.

Selections: 4 – 8 – 3 – 5

The Plays

Win: #4 at 4-1

Exacta Box: 4,8,3

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Allowance $72k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

#1 OPERATION TORCH (2-1): Prime Win Player. Solid closing kick. Barn has been solid.
#7 SENDERO (10-1): Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
#6 VINTAGE YEAR (8-1): Contender. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Not likely to be short in the stretch.
#5 PUBLIC DEFENDER (7-2): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 6 – 5

The Plays

Win: #1 at 2-1

Exacta: 1/ 7,6,5

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 1:30 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $74k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

#3 TWO EAGLES RIVER (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Races competitive with the top contenders. Comes in with solid form. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
#5 MACRON (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Trainer is having a great meet.
#7 CATAHOULA MOON (12-1): Contender. Likely in the mix early. Speed figs match up nicely.
#6 MURRAY (8-1): Contender. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start. Fast enough on paper to compete.

Selections: 3 – 5 – 7 – 6

The Plays

Win: #3 at 4-1

Exacta: 3/ 5,7,6

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:03 PM ET; Petramalo Mile Stakes $100k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

#4 FLOOD ZONE (7-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Looks good based on the 101 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
#9 ROLANDO (6-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
#8 BARBADIAN RUNNER (9-2): Contender. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish.
#2 LA HOULIGAN (10-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.

Selections: 4 – 9 – 8 – 2

The Plays

Win: #4 at 3-1

Exacta: 4/ 9,8,2

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 2:36 PM ET; Tyson Gilpin Stakes $100k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

#1 G W’S GIRL (9-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance.
#2 IMPULSE BUY (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
#3 REPUTATION (6-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners.
#6 COMPLEXITY JANE (10-1): Major Player. Could be griding down the competition late. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 3 – 6

The Plays

Win: #1 at 4-1

Exacta: 1/ 2,3,6

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:09 PM ET; Andy Guest Stakes $150k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 10 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

#2 MRS. GAMBOLINI (3-1): Best bet of the card. Race may setup for this runner. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
#5 CROWN IMPERIAL (9-2): Major Player. Should take a liking to the race shape. Can run with these.
#4 BANDONARUN (5-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. Saez puts this one in with a chance.
#3 HOLLYWOOD WALK (4-1): Major Player. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 2 – 5 – 4 – 3

The Plays

Win: #2 at 1-1

Exacta: 2/ 5,4,3

Pick 3 (races 7-9): #2 with #4,5,12 with #4,8,1,2

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 3:45 PM ET; Van Clief Stakes $150k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 13 runners.

#4 NOBALS (3-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Stamina to outlast the competition.
#5 ISIVUNGUVUNGU (8-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
#12 COPPOLA (9-2): Major Player. Potential to kick home late. Barn has been sending out runners.
#11 NOTHING BETTER (8-1): Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 12 – 11

The Plays

Win: #4 at 3-1

Exacta: 4/ 5,12,11

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:41 PM ET; Secretariat Stakes $500k; 1 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.

#4 SIMULATE (8-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Should be able to work out a trip.
#8 DREAM ON (5-2): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
#1 GIOCOSO (6-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
#2 MAUI STRONG (7-2): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 4 – 8 – 1 – 2

The Plays

Win: #4 at 5-1

Exacta Box: 4,8,1

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:17 PM ET; Beverly D. Stakes $500k; 1 3/16 M Turf; Field of 6 runners.

#3 BEACH BOMB (4-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Solid closing kick.
#2 BE YOUR BEST (9-5): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
#6 DUVET DAY (3-1): Major Player. Should sit a good trip. Hard to argue with the recent races.
#4 CHARLENE’S DREAM (7-2): Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 6 – 4

The Plays

Win: #3 at 4-1

Exacta: 3/ 2,6

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:54 PM ET; Arlington Million Stakes $1000k; 1 1/4 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.

#8 INTEGRATION (8-5): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Barn has been solid.
#6 FORT WASHINGTON (4-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Trainer is having a great meet.
#3 VESTING (12-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
#7 GRAND SONATA (8-1): Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Gaffalione puts this one in with a chance.

Selections: 8 – 6 – 3 – 7

The Plays

Win: #8 at 2-1

Exacta: 8/ 6,3,7

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 6:25 PM ET; Allowance $72k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.

#8 ENGLISH LAW (5-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Solid closing kick.
#10 PARACLETE (10-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Productive recent form.
#5 SOLEIL VOLANT (5-2): Major Player. May be able find the right setup.
#3 OUTRUNNER (3-1): Major Player. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 8 – 10 – 5 – 3

The Plays

Win: #8 at 5-1

Exacta: 8/ 10,5,3

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Friday Analysis

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Saturday Analysis

Colonial Picks featuring the Grade 1 Arlington Million Stakes
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Sunday Analysis

Saratoga Picks featuring the Grade 3 Mahony Stakes