Churchill Downs Picks: Maxfield Stakes (6/29/20205)

The racing action from Churchill Downs on Sunday features the Maxfield Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!

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Churchill Downs Full Card Analysis

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Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:45 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #6 MARGARITA GIRL (7-2): Best bet of the card. Favorable class relief in this spot. Race may setup for this runner. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.

• #3 STRONG DESTINY (4-1): Contender. Looks to get a bit easier group here.

• #4 LEMON ZEST (9-2): Fringe Contender. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Potential to have this pace fall just right.

• #8 BUCKLE CHASER (8-1): Fringe Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 4 – 8

The Plays:

• Win: #6 at 1-1

• Exacta: #6/3, 4, 8

• Trifecta: #6/3, 4, 8

• Pick 3 (race 1-3): #6 with #6, 4, 1, 3 with 6, 2, 4

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:14 PM ET; Allowance $127k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.

• #6 GUN PARTY (5-2): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.

• #4 RAGUEL (3-1): Major Player. Stamina to be in the mix late. Speed figures match this group well.

• #1 SUN THUNDER (5-1): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Hernandez and McPeek team up on this one.

• #3 GAMBLERS TAIL (7-2): Major Player. Competitive enough in recent efforts.

Selections: 6 – 4 – 1 – 3

The Plays:

• Win: #6 at 3-1

• Exacta: #6/1

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:43 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $92k; 5 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #6 AMAZING AMANDA (9-2): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Favorable class relief in this spot.

• #2 IT AIN’T LIKE THAT (4-1): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.

• #4 DOLCE VINO (6-1): Major Player. Saez and Brion team up on this one. Previous success in similar race types.

• #8 EMILY’S JOY (15-1): Fringe Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 6 – 2 – 4 – 8

The Plays:

• Win: #6 at 5-2

• Exacta Box: #6, 2, 4

• Trifecta: #6/2, 4/ 2, 4, 8

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:14 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.

• #2 EXONERATE (7-2): Prime Win Player. Solid breeding for this spot. Top connections on the circuit with Geroux and Cox.

• #12 VERY QUIET (12-1): Contender. Running well of late. Speed figures match this group well.

• #9 I DID I DID (9-2): Fringe Contender. Alvarado puts this one in with a chance. Previous success in similar race types.

• #6 BEDEVILED (10-1): Fringe Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 2 – 12 – 9 – 6

The Plays:

• Win: #2 at 9-5

• Exacta: #2/12, 6

• Trifecta: #2/12, 9, 6/12, 9, 6

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:46 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 5 F Turf; Field of 11 runners.

• #9 SATIN BLUE (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Race sets up perfectly. Ortiz and Sharp team up on this one. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.

• #2 NIKI NINE DOORS (7-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here.

• #8 HIGH FASHION KATE (8-1): Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races.

• #11 FOXXY CLEOPATRA (9-2): Contender. Top connections on the circuit with Loveberry and Rivelli. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 9 – 2 – 8 – 11

The Plays:

• Win: #9 at 3-1

• Exacta Box: #9, 2, 8

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:18 PM ET; Bashford Manor Stakes $225k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #5 COMPORT (3-1): Top pick. Should be able to work out a trip.

• #4 ROMEO (9-2): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner. Likely to get forward position.

• #6 SAUL ELLIOTT (4-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.

• #7 PASSWORD (7-2): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 5 – 4 – 6 – 7

The Plays:

• Win: #5 at 7-2

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:51 PM ET; Debutante Stakes $225k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #2 VAJRA (15-1): Top pick. Top connections on the circuit with Ortiz and Brisset.

• #8 COLOR COMIN’ IN (4-1): Major Player. Saez puts this one in with a chance. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

• #9 LILIES N PARADISE (10-1): Major Player. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.

• #3 LIGHT WON UP (5-1): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 9 – 3

The Plays:

• Win: #2 at 6-1

• Exacta Box: #2, 8, 9

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:23 PM ET; Hanshin Stakes Presented by JRA $300k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #1 BANISHING (2-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly.

• #4 SAUDI CROWN (9-5): Major Player. Should take a liking to the race shape.

• #5 TUMBARUMBA (10-1): Major Player. Saez and Lynch team up on this one.

• #2 JUDGE MILLER (6-1): Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 5 – 2

The Plays:

• Win: #1 at 5-2

• Exacta: #1/5, 2

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:55 PM ET; Anchorage Overnight Stakes $175k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

• #7 PIN UP BETTY (8-5): Top pick. Saez and Maker team up on this one. Proven competitor at this configuration.

• #3 DUVET DAY (5-1): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.

• #8 CHARLENE’S DREAM (3-1): Major Player. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish. The 103 speed rating is among the best in the field.

• #2 SPARKLE BLUE (6-1): Major Player. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.

Selections: 7 – 3 – 8 – 2

The Plays:

• Win: #7 at 5-2

• Exacta: #7/3, 2

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:27 PM ET; Maxfield Stakes $250k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.

• #2 CAPTAIN COOK (9-2): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Looks good based on the 100 speed rating which is among the top in the group.

• #8 FLOOD ZONE (4-1): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

• #6 SMOKEN WICKED (10-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. Previous success in similar race types.

• #11 KALE’S ANGEL (20-1): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 6 – 11

The Plays:

• Win: #2 at 7-2

• Exacta: #2/8, 6

• Trifecta: #2/8, 11, 12/8, 11, 12

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:58 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.

• #4 MASSARAT (7-2): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.

• #11 MISS PHARAOH (6-1): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

• #5 GOOD GAME (9-2): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Potential to have this pace fall just right.

• #13 EYES ON ITALY (10-1): Major Player. Competitive enough in recent efforts. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 4 – 11 – 5 – 13

The Plays:

• Win: #4 at 4-1

• Exacta: #4/11, 13

• Trifecta: #4/11, 13, 10/11, 13, 10

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Sunday Analysis

• Churchill Downs Picks featuring the Maxfield Stakes