The racing action from Churchill Downs on Saturday features the Louisville Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!
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Full Card Analysis
Churchill Downs Picks- Louisville Stakes (5/17/2025)
Bet all of today’s selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 6:00 P.M. ET; Allowance $127k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 13 runners.
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#13 BUNDCHEN (4-1): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Proven competitor at this configuration.
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#5 LA FORET (12-1): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
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#12 THANKFULLY (8-1): Major Player. Has experience at this level.
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#11 LAMORNA (3-1): Major Player. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 13 – 5 – 12 – 11
The Plays:
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Win: #13 at 3-1
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Exacta Box: 5, 12, 13
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 6:28 P.M. ET; Maiden Claiming $35k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
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#9 BIG SALT LICK (5-2): Top pick. Races competitive with the top contenders. Could be ready for a top effort.
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#7 BOTE (15-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Good race flow for this runner.
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#11 SILENT BREEZE (8-1): Major Player. Should sit a good trip. Trainer, Hancock, is having a lot of success this meeting.
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#8 MOVING TO KENTUCKY (5-1): Major Player. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.
Selections: 9 – 7 – 11 – 8
The Plays:
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Win: #9 at 3-1
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Exacta Key Box: 9 /7, 8, 11
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Trifecta Key Box: 9/7, 8, 11
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 6:56 P.M. ET; Claiming $36k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
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#2 DIVINE (3-1): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Should be able to work out a trip.
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#8 MY BOSSY LADY (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Seems to be up against the right competition. Productive recent form. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
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#4 ADRIAN (4-1): Contender. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
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#1 STARLIT SOFI (6-1): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 2 – 8 – 4 – 1
The Plays:
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Win: #2 at 2-1
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Exacta Box: 2, 4, 8
- Daily Double: 2,8/3
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 7:26 P.M. ET; Claiming $71k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
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#3 GOODASIWONSWAS (5-2): Best bet of the card. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
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#1 SHAPE NOTE (4-1): Major Player. Productive recent form. Seems to be up against the right competition.
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#5 TOP GUN TOMMY (7-2): Contender. Has experience at this level. Previous success in similar race types.
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#2 M B’S MUNNING (9-2): Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 1 – 5 – 2
The Plays:
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Win: #3 at 8-5
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Exacta: 1/ 3,5
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 7:57 P.M. ET; Claiming $82k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
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#7 FROSTY INDULGENCE (5-2): Prime Win Player. Stamina to outlast the competition.
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#5 PINELAND (7-2): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Stamina to be in the mix late.
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#3 HESPER (4-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
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#1 HOLSTER (3-1): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.
Selections: 7 – 5 – 3 – 1
The Plays:
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Win: #7 at 5-2
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Exacta Box: 5, 7
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 8:30 P.M. ET; Allowance $127k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 13 runners.
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#9 SY B (5-2): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Stamina to outlast the competition.
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#8 SARAH’S DREAM (15-1): Major Player. Comes home strong. Good race flow for this runner.
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#5 QUIETLY (10-1): Contender. Should sit a good trip.
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#11 EUNOMIA (15-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 9 – 8 – 5 – 11
The Plays:
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Win: #9 at 2-1
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Exacta Key Box: 9/5, 8, 11
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Trifecta Key Box: 9/5, 8, 11
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 9:05 P.M. ET; Claiming $63k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
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#5 NORWICH (7-2): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Comes in with solid form.
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#4 REDEMPTION TIME (5-2): Major Player. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Seems to be up against the right competition.
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#1 EVENING NEWS (6-1): Contender. Has been running well enough recently.
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#6 SCHIFTY’S HALOID (4-1): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 5 – 4 – 1 – 6
The Plays:
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Win: #5 at 3-1
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Exacta Box: 1, 4, 5
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 9:39 P.M. ET; Maiden Claiming $67k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
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#3 FEVER NIGHT (5-2): Top pick. Should be able to work out a trip.
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#7 CHACHACHING (8-1): Major Player. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
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#1 SHOGUN (6-1): Major Player. Likely in the mix early. Should sit a good trip.
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#4 FREEDOM MAKER (6-1): Fringe Contender. Competitive enough in recent efforts.
Selections: 3 – 7 – 1 – 4
The Plays:
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Win: #3 at 5-2
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Exacta: 3/1,4,7
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Trifecta: 3/1,4/1,4,7
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 10:11 P.M. ET; Louisville Stakes $250k; 1 1/2 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.
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#3 REBEL RED (5-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Race sets up perfectly.
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#4 TAPIT SHOES (8-1): Major Player. Comes home strong.
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#1 IDRATHERBEBLESSED (10-1): Major Player. Not likely to be short in the stretch. Potential to kick home late.
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#9 SUGOI (4-1): Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.
Selections: 3 – 4 – 1 – 9
The Plays:
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Win: #3 at 5-2
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Exacta Key Box: 3/1, 4, 9
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 10:42 P.M. ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
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#6 BADDEST GOOD BOY (5-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Should be able to work out a trip.
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#1 GOULD’S GOLD (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
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#7 BULLARD (3-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
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#9 WILLY D’S (4-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 6 – 1 – 7 – 9
The Plays:
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Win: #6 at 5-2
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Exacta Box: 1, 6
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Trifecta: 1/6, 7/6,7, 9
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 11:10 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
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#1 ME AND MOLLY MCGEE (5-2): Prime Win Player. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 87 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
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#10 PUTONAHAPPYFACE (10-1): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Should take a liking to the race shape.
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#4 LEMON ZEST (7-2): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
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#7 SPUN CANDY (12-1): Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.
Selections: 1 – 10 – 4 – 7
The Plays:
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Win: #1 at 2-1
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Exacta Box: 1, 7,10
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Trifecta: 1/4,10/4,7,10
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
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Sunday Analysis
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