The racing action from Churchill Downs on Saturday features the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!
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Track Full Card Analysis
Churchill Downs Picks: Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (11/29/2025)
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 12 runners.
- #1 GLOW OF A ROSE (3-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Favorable class relief in this spot.
- #11 SEARCH PARTY (7-2): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #3 DANCIN IN OLD TOWN (8-1): Major Player. May be able find the right setup. Previous success in similar race types.
- #12 FANCY FOOTWORK (20-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 1 – 11 – 3 – 12
The Plays
Win: #1 at 3-1
Exacta: 1/11,3
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:28 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
- #15 EMPIRE WEST (3-1): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #16 MOLUCCAN (5-1): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #11 UNTETHERED (10-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #1 HAPPY PRINCE (5-2): Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 15 – 16 – 11 – 1
The Plays
Win: #15 at 3-1
Exacta: 15/16,11
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:56 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.
- #12 PRESUMPTUOUS (3-1): Top pick. Looks good based on the 81 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Barn has been solid.
- #2 NO TIME LEFT (5-1): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Speed figures match this group well.
- #13 SHOT AT PERFECTION (8-1): Major Player. Has been running well enough recently.
- #14 MAXIMUM OFFER (5-1): Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 12 – 2 – 13 – 14
The Plays
Win: #12 at 3-1
Exacta: 12/2,13
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:24 PM ET; Ed Brown Stakes $225k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #5 STRADALE (2-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Race sets up perfectly.
- #6 BOYD (1-1): Major Player. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Baffert. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #3 BIG DOM (15-1): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #1 GALLIVANT (3-1): Major Player. Race shape gives this one an edge. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 5 – 6 – 3 – 1
The Plays
Win: #5 at 2-1
Trifecta: 5/6,3/1,3,6
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:55 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $127k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
- #4 IT’S OUR TIME (1-1): Best bet of the card. Barn has been solid. Fits well with this group. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #2 STOP THE CAR (8-1): Underneath. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
- #5 TRIPP’S PROMISE (15-1): Underneath. Has experience at this level. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #3 TIME FOR MUSIC (12-1): Underneath. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.
Selections: 4 – 2 – 5 – 3
The Plays
Win: #4 at 1-1
Exacta: 4/2,5
Pick 3 (race 5-7): #4 with #4,12 with #1,2,16,7
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:25 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
- #4 KENTUCKY BELLE (5-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Races competitive with the top contenders.
- #12 ALONE TIME (8-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #16 MARKET CHILL (4-1): Contender. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
- #5 CORE MEMORIES (7-2): Contender. Recent races are solid. Ortiz and Devaux team up on this one.
Selections: 4 – 12 – 16 – 5
The Plays
Win: #4 at 5-2
Exacta: 4/12,16
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:55 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 16 runners.
- #1 ALBUS (10-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Favorable class relief in this spot.
- #2 LIBERTY NATIONAL (6-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Stamina to be in the mix late.
- #16 NO MORE KINGS (15-1): Major Player. Should step forward from the first start. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
- #7 TIERNANOGUE (8-1): Major Player. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 1 – 2 – 16 – 7
The Plays
Win: #1 at 5-1
Trifecta: 1/2,16/2,7,16
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:25 PM ET; Fern Creek Stakes $225k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
- #8 GO TO GIRL (10-1): Top pick. Favorable class relief in this spot. Race sets up perfectly.
- #7 ON TIME GIRL (3-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Good race flow for this runner.
- #2 PAIGE TURNER (7-2): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. May be able find the right setup.
- #6 A FINE CHARDONNAY (5-2): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well. Gaffalione and Wilkes team up on this one.
Selections: 8 – 7 – 2 – 6
The Plays
Win: #8 at 5-1
Trifecta: 8/7,2/2,6,7
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:55 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
- #3 NO JOKE JOE (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Favorable class relief in this spot. Races that could beat these. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
- #1 CLARK’S CORNER (6-1): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Stamina to be in the mix late.
- #8 SUN CHASER (12-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #15 HIGH HONORS (8-1): Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 3 – 1 – 8 – 15
The Plays
Win: #3 at 6-1
Exacta Box: 3,1,8
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:25 PM ET; Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes $400k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #6 FURTHER ADO (7-5): Top pick. Race may setup for this runner. Looks good based on the 98 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #3 DR. KAPUR (8-1): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner. Looks fast enough off previous efforts.
- #4 SOLDIER N DIPLOMAT (4-1): Major Player. Gaffalione and Asmussen team up on this one. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #2 CHEROKEE NATION (3-1): Major Player. Trainer’s horses have been running. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.
Selections: 6 – 3 – 4 – 2
The Plays
Win: #6 at 7-5
Trifecta: 6/3,4/2,3,4
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 5:54 PM ET; Golden Rod Stakes $400k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
- #12 EXPLORA (7-5): Prime Win Player. Looks good based on the 98 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Barn has been solid.
- #5 LETMECOUNTTHEWAYS (9-2): Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #13 THE GRUMPY RABBIT (15-1): Contender. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Previous success in similar race types.
- #9 ATROPA (8-1): Fringe Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 12 – 5 – 13 – 9
The Plays
Win: #12 at 7-5
Exacta: 12/5,13
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 12
Post Time: 6:26 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.
- #14 FATGUYINLITTLECOAT (6-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Stamina to outlast the competition.
- #7 ASSOCIATED (10-1): Major Player. Ramos and Beckman team up on this one. Good race flow for this runner.
- #5 REGENERATION (10-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
- #6 CORNWALL BOSS (6-1): Major Player. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 14 – 7 – 5 – 6
The Plays
Win: #14 at 6-1
Trifecta: 14/7,5/5,6,7
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