Churchill Downs Picks: Clark Stakes (11/28/2025)

Churchill Downs Picks

The racing action from on Friday features the Clark Stakes presented by Norton Healthcare. @HandicappingT3 has all the picks for the entire card!

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Track Full Card Analysis

Churchill Downs Picks: Clark Stakes (11/28/2025)

Churchill Downs Picks: Clark Stakes (11/28/2025)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $48k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #2 DON’TMINDIFIDO (3-1): Prime Win Player. Looks good based on the 71 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Favorable class relief in this spot.
  • #3 ZOOMAHA (6-1): Contender. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
  • #9 LADY UPSTART (4-1): Contender. Speed figs match up nicely. Potential to have this pace fall just right.
  • #4 DIVINE CELINA (9-2): Fringe Contender. Bloodlines fit this race. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 2 – 3 – 9 – 4

The Plays

Win: #2 at 3-1

Exacta: 2/3,9

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:28 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $67k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #1 HOT GOSSIP (3-1): Prime Win Player. Solid breeding for this spot. Comes in with solid form.
  • #6 TIZMATIC (5-2): Contender. Speed figures match this group well. Good race flow for this runner.
  • #8 SEA ZEST (5-1): Contender. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Speed figs match up nicely.
  • #3 KNICKLEANDIME (8-1): Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 1 – 6 – 8 – 3

The Plays

Win: #1 at 3-1

Exacta Box: 1,6,8

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:56 PM ET; Allowance $127k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

  • #3 COLONIAL ROSE (3-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Proven competitor at this configuration.
  • #6 IVORY AND EBONY (5-2): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
  • #2 NECESSITY (7-2): Major Player. Could wear these ones down late. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #5 MERRY MADISON (5-1): Major Player. Trainer’s horses have been running. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 2 – 5

The Plays

Win: #3 at 3-1

Trifecta: 3/6,2/2,5,6

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:24 PM ET; Claiming $64k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

  • #4 MERCY WARREN (3-1): Prime Win Player. Comes in with solid form. Races competitive with the top contenders.
  • #6 UP ON THE EDGE (7-2): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition.
  • #9 THESTRAL (6-1): Contender. Could wear these ones down late.
  • #2 MILA JUNES (15-1): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 4 – 6 – 9 – 2

The Plays

Win: #4 at 3-1

Exacta: 4/6,9

Pick 3 (races 4-6): #4 with #3,8,7 with #6

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:55 PM ET; Claiming $64k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

  • #3 SWAGGISH (7-2): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Looks good based on the 89 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
  • #8 FURIOUS ANGER (9-2): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Should take a liking to the race shape.
  • #7 BORN FLAWLESS (20-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #5 J J’S JOKER (20-1): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 5

The Plays

Win: #3 at 7-2

Exacta: 3/8,7

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:25 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

  • #6 WEIGHTED AVERAGE (8-5): Best bet of the card. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Favorable class relief in this spot. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
  • #9 MAKE THE BOYS WINK (8-1): Fringe Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Trainer is having a great meet.
  • #5 TAP THE CHAMPAGNE (4-1): Fringe Contender. This one’s a fighter in the late stages. Barn has been sending out runners.
  • #1 FIXIN TO BEE (3-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 6 – 9 – 5 – 1

The Plays

Win: #6 at 1-1

Exacta: 6/9,5

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:55 PM ET; Claiming $45k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

  • #3 LEND IT TEWMEY (3-1): Top pick. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Barn has been solid.
  • #9 EASTSIDE COOL (9-2): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages.
  • #8 MASTER GAME (6-1): Major Player. Should sit a good trip. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.
  • #4 TRES SOLES (5-1): Major Player. Leparoux puts this one in with a chance.

Selections: 3 – 9 – 8 – 4

The Plays

Win: #3 at 3-1

Trifecta: 3/9,8/4,8,9

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:25 PM ET; Starter Allowance $62k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

  • #7 MISS ELLARY (3-1): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Race may setup for this runner.
  • #1 COLORMECAIRO (8-1): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Should take a liking to the race shape.
  • #3 CAROLINA CANDY (5-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Likely in the mix early.
  • #6 CREATIVE QUALITY (5-1): Contender. Ortiz and Foster team up on this one.

Selections: 7 – 1 – 3 – 6

The Plays

Win: #7 at 3-1

Exacta: 7/1,3

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:55 PM ET; Claiming $62k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

Longshot Play of the Day

  • #7 LINEBACKER (10-1): Longshot play of the day. Should still have something in the tank late. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
  • #1 MAMOOT (12-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position.
  • #4 AIR CAV (8-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Not likely to be short in the stretch.
  • #11 GALPIN SUNDAY (12-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Machado puts this one in with a chance.

Selections: 7 – 1 – 4 – 11

The Plays

Win: #7 at 10-1

Exacta Box: 7,1,4

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:25 PM ET; MrStakes Revere Stakes $300k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 12 runners.

  • #1 LUSH LIPS (7-5): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Race may setup for this runner.
  • #2 FAST MARKET (10-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Good race flow for this runner.
  • #3 TABLE FLIRT (15-1): Major Player. Potential to have this pace fall just right. Has experience at this level.
  • #4 CLASSIC Q (3-1): Major Player. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 3 – 4

The Plays

Win: #1 at 7-5

Trifecta: 1/2,3/2,3,4

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:54 PM ET; Clark Stakes presented by Norton Healthcare $600k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #3 HIT SHOW (3-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly.
  • #2 FIRST MISSION (5-1): Major Player. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Cox.
  • #8 WILLY D’S (12-1): Major Player. Gaffalione and Maker team up on this one. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish.
  • #6 RATTLE N ROLL (7-2): Major Player. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 8 – 6

The Plays

Win: #3 at 3-1

Trifecta: 3/2,8/2,6,8

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 6:26 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

  • #8 MIZZOU (3-1): Prime Win Player. Strong early pace figs. Favorable class relief in this spot.
  • #4 SEA VISTA (5-2): Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
  • #9 SHALLUS (20-1): Contender. Pedigree fits in this spot. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
  • #2 PITKIN (7-2): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 8 – 4 – 9 – 2

The Plays

Win: #8 at 3-1

Exacta Box: 8,4,9

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