Belmont at the Big A Picks: Saturday Champagne Stakes (10/04/2025)

Belmont/Aqueduct Joseph Gimma Friday Stakes Analysis cover

The racing action from Belmont at the Big A on Saturday features the Champagne Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Belmont at the Big A picks for the entire card!

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Belmont at the Big A Full Card Analysis

Belmont at the Big A Picks: Saturday Champagne Stakes (10/04/2025)

Belmont at the Big A Picks: Saturday Champagne Stakes (10/04/2025)

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Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:10 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $35k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #1 ALYVIA MAVIS (15-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Top connections on the circuit with Rodriguez and Ness.
  • #2 HERE’SYOURTROUBLE (6-1): Major Player. Well bred for this race.
  • #4 LAUGHING LADY (7-2): Contender. Santana and Falcone team up on this one. Pedigree fits in this spot.
  • #6 SHEER WILL (3-1): Fringe Contender. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 4 – 6

The Plays

Win: #1 at 5-2

Exacta: 1/ 2,6

Pick 3 (races 1-3): #1,2 with #3 with #4

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 12:41 PM ET; Discovery Stakes $125k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 5 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

  • #3 RATED BY MERIT (2-5): Best bet of the card. Proven competitor at this configuration. Barn has been solid. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
  • #1 WISE UP (9-2): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Should take a liking to the race shape.
  • #4 DREAMBUILDER (15-1): Underneath. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #2 UNCAGED (3-1): Underneath. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 3 – 1 – 4 – 2

The Plays

Win: #3 at 1-1

Exacta: 3/ 1,2

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:12 PM ET; Claiming $41k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #4 LEADING ROLE (3-1): Prime Win Player. Barn has been solid. Santana puts this one in with a chance.
  • #5 HENRY’S HOPE (20-1): Contender. Running well of late. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
  • #8 ZAKAT (12-1): Contender. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #7 BOOTED UP (4-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 8 – 7

The Plays

Win: #4 at 5-2

Exacta: 4/ 7,8

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 1:43 PM ET; Jockey Club Derby Invitational Stakes $500k; 1 3/8 M Turf; Field of 7 runners.

  • #7 GAME WARRIOR (8-1): Top pick. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance. Geroux and Miller team up on this one.
  • #6 NOBLE CONFESSOR (8-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
  • #2 ASBURY PARK (5-2): Major Player. Top connections on the circuit with Franco and Brown. Potential to kick home late.
  • #4 HILL ROAD (7-5): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 7 – 6 – 2 – 4

The Plays

Win: #7 at 5-2

Exacta Box: 7,6,2

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:16 PM ET; Maiden Optional Claiming $70k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

  • #3 DEVILISH GRIN (5-2): Top pick. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Looks good based on the 84 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
  • #11 DEFINING ROLE (5-1): Major Player. Santana puts this one in with a chance. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
  • #10 RIVER EMPRESS (8-1): Fringe Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #6 LAST CALL JENNA (15-1): Fringe Contender. May be a better effort in the 2nd start. Should still have enough if the reserves if there in the final furlong.

Selections: 3 – 11 – 10 – 6

The Plays

Win: #3 at 5-2

Exacta: 3/ 11,10

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 2:49 PM ET; Frizette Stakes $400k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

  • #6 IRON ORCHARD (3-1): Top pick. Odds suggest this filly is ready to fire on debut. Proven competitor at this configuration.
  • #2 CARMEL COAST (7-2): Major Player. Carmouche and Beckman team up on this one. Trainer is having a great meet.
  • #7 CHOPSTICKS (8-1): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #5 SECANE (10-1): Major Player. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 6 – 2 – 7 – 5

The Plays

Win: #6 at 5-2

Exacta Box: 6,2,7

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:20 PM ET; Champagne Stakes $500k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #6 IT’S OUR TIME (1-1): Top pick. Should improve off the debut. Stamina to outlast the competition.
  • #1 CURTAIN CALL (6-1): Major Player. Should take a liking to the race shape. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
  • #9 TALKIN (5-1): Contender. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
  • #2 STRADALE (8-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Franco and Asmussen team up on this one.

Selections: 6 – 1 – 9 – 2

The Plays

Win: #6 at 5-2

Exacta: 6/ 1,9

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 3:51 PM ET; Miss Grillo Stakes $200k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.

  • #9 DEEP LEARNING (5-2): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Top connections on the circuit with Santana and Brown.
  • #13 DYNA (10-1): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well.
  • #12 QUIET STREET (7-2): Major Player. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
  • #6 ROSE ROOM (10-1): Major Player. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.

Selections: 9 – 13 – 12 – 6

The Plays

Win: #9 at 5-2

Exacta Box: 9,13,12

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:23 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $90k; 6 F Turf; Field of 9 runners.

  • #3 BIG INVASION (7-2): Top pick. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Proven competitor at this configuration.
  • #6 WARALO (3-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
  • #1 STEP FORWARD (6-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Potential to kick home late.
  • #4 BOLTAGE (12-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Recent races are solid.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 1 – 4

The Plays

Win: #3 at 5-2

Exacta Box: 3,6,1

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 4:55 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $85k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #8 MY WORLD (9-5): Top pick. Franco and Cox team up on this one. Race sets up perfectly.
  • #7 DOUBLE ACT (9-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
  • #3 TWENTY TWO BLACK (5-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #5 INTROUBLEAGAIN (15-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 8 – 7 – 3 – 5

The Plays

Win: #8 at 5-2

Exacta: 8/ 7,3

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:28 PM ET; Allowance $88k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

Longshot Play of the Day

  • #8 KING D’ORO (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
  • #10 MAIN BEACH (4-1): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Seems to be up against the right competition.
  • #5 IRISH GENT (7-2): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #3 RISK TOLERANCE (3-1): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 8 – 10 – 5 – 3

The Plays

Win: #8 at 5-1

Trifecta: 8/ 10,3/ 3,5,10

Belmont at the Big A Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 6:02 PM ET; Allowance $88k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 13 runners.

  • #11 PEAK HYPE (5-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Proven competitor at this configuration.
  • #5 VICTORIOUSLY (8-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Trainer is having a great meet.
  • #10 WRIGLEYVILLE (7-2): Contender. Has experience at this level.
  • #13 FORTUNA MIA (5-1): Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 11 – 5 – 10 – 13

The Plays

Win: #11 at 5-2

Exacta: 11/ 5,13

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Saturday Analysis

  • Belmont at the Big A Picks featuring the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
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