The PGA TOUR is back in action after a two-week hiatus and Tommy Fleetwood’s breakthrough win at the Tour Championship. This week, the spotlight shifts to the Procore Championship at Silverado Resort in Napa, California, where the North Course hosts for the 19th straight year.
Silverado is set up as a short par-72, measuring at 7,138 yards. The course features narrow, tree-lined fairways with plenty of doglegs, though the rough isn’t very punishing. With four scorable par-5s and a stronger field than usual, expect the winning score to reach around 20-under or better.
The field’s strength is heightened by the presence of 10 of the 12 U.S. Ryder Cup players, treating the trip to Napa as a team-building exercise. The only absentees are Xander Schauffele, resting an injury, and Bryson DeChambeau, who remains ineligible as a LIV golfer.
For the rest of the 156-player field, the fall swing carries high stakes. Over the next seven events, players will battle to secure status for the 2026 season. The top 70 in FedExCup points are already safe, but those who crack the top 100 this fall will also lock up their cards.
In regards to the metrics to monitor, Strokes Gained: Off the Tee is paramount, along with Strokes Gained: Approach (with an emphasis on shots from 125–150 yards), Ball Striking, Birdies or Better Gained, and Strokes Gained: Putting. Comp courses to note include TPC Summerlin, Pebble Beach, and Detroit Golf Club.
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Odds to Win the 2025 Procore Championship
Odds are courtesy of BetOnline.
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Scottie Scheffler (+235)
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Russell Henley (+1600)
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Justin Thomas (+1600)
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Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
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Cameron Young (+2200)
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Sam Burns (+2200)
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Collin Morikawa (+2200)
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J.J. Spaun (+2800)
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Maverick McNealy (+2800)
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Akshay Bhatia (+2800)
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Ben Griffin (+3000)
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Harris English (+3300)
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Davis Thompson (+5000)
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Jackson Koivun (+5000)
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Max Homa (+5500)
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Max Greyserman (+7500)
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Mark Hubbard (+8000)
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Patrick Fishburn (+9000)
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Keith Mitchell (+10000)
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Michael Thorbjornsen (+10000)
Procore Championship Prediction and Picks
We ended the PGA Tour postseason with an outright win on Tommy Fleetwood at 14/1, let’s aim for more fortune this week in Northern California.
Sam Burns
To Win (22/1) | Top 20 (+100)
This season, Sam Burns ranks T-19 in both Birdie or Better Percentage and approach shots from 125–150 yards. With the two-week break and the unique nature of this event, I’m extending sample sizes further back than usual, putting more weight on longer-term consistency than just recent form.
Since early June, Burns has been steady across three key areas for Silverado: 11th in SG: PUTT, 18th in SG: APP, and 26th in SG: OTT. He earned a spot on the U.S. Ryder Cup team this season and closed strong with a T-7 at the Tour Championship and a T-4 at the BMW. On a comparable track at Pebble Beach, he finished T-22.
Burns is a reliable ball striker, and if his putter heats up – as it has several times this year – he has every chance to contend near the top of the leaderboard.
Cameron Young
To Win (22/1) | Top 20 (+105)
Cameron Young’s power from the tee makes him one of the more intriguing players this week. Since June, he ranks 7th in SG: OTT, and over the last 36 rounds that number improved to 3rd.
He’s also 3rd in SG: PUTT, 25th in SG: APP, and T-19 in Birdie or Better Percentage.
Young remains both captivating and frustrating. He finally broke through with a win at the Wyndham Championship this season, then carried that momentum with two top-5s and an 11th-place finish in the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Before that, his results were far more volatile. The metrics have been strong all year, and now the finishes are lining up – if he can put it all together again, Silverado sets up as another quality opportunity for the 28-year-old.
Can Collin Morikawa get on the right track in Napa?
Collin Morikawa
To Win (25/1) | Top 20 (+105)
This is a tough selection to make. Collin Morikawa has been one of the more frustrating golfers to back this year. The talent is undeniable, but he hasn’t cracked a Top-10 since March and failed to contend in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Add in multiple caddie changes, and it hasn’t exactly inspired confidence.
Nevertheless, I’m still willing to take a chance on him this weekend. With the Ryder Cup approaching, this feels like the time for Morikawa to get things back on track. He’s had a couple of weeks to reset, and his skill set lines up well with Silverado.
On the season, he ranks 4th in approach shots from 125–150 yards, T-34 in Ball Striking, and 38th in Birdie or Better Percentage. Since June, he’s 3rd in SG: APP and 13th in SG: OTT – numbers that hardly reflect how poor his results have been.
The culprit has been the putter, where he sits 119th in SG: PUTT. It hasn’t been the summer of the flat stick, but it wouldn’t be a surprise if Morikawa flips that narrative in Napa.
J.J. Spaun
To Win (28/1) | Top 20 (+110)
J.J. Spaun is an interesting character this week. A Southern California native, he should be comfortable on these greens, and his past results back that up. At Silverado, he’s posted finishes of 9th and 11th, and he’s also found success on comp courses with Top-10s at both TPC Summerlin and Detroit Golf Club. Spaun has played well at Pebble Beach too, finishing as high as 16th and 33rd this year.
He’s coming off the best season of his career, highlighted by a U.S. Open win at Oakmont and four other top-5 finishes. His form dipped slightly in the FedEx Cup Playoffs with finishes of T-23 and T-25, but the bigger question is whether he’ll coast into the Ryder Cup or use this week to sharpen up in his home state.
I’m betting on the latter. He’s been a machine all year, and the break should have him ready to go again. Stat-wise, he sits T-31 in approaches from 125–150, 25th in Ball Striking, and 54th in Birdie or Better Percentage. More importantly, since June, he ranks 10th in SG: OTT, 11th in SG: APP, and 32nd in SG: PUTT.
His odds aren’t eye-popping, but his talent sure is.
Maverick McNealy
To Win (30/1) | Top 20 (+110)
We all love a good revenge angle in betting, and Maverick McNealy fits the bill this week. Left off the Ryder Cup roster despite ending the season with six finishes of T-23 or better (and just one missed cut at the 3M Open), he’ll have extra motivation to prove a point to Keegan Bradley and the rest of the U.S. squad.
On top of that, McNealy gets to showcase his game on home turf. A Northern California native, he knows this terrain of golf as well as anyone, and his track record shows it – runner-up finishes here in Napa and at Pebble Beach in 2021, plus top-10 finishes at both TPC Summerlin and at the Detroit Golf Club.
He’s clearly comfortable on this course, and the stats back it up – 9th in SG: OTT, 12th in SG: PUTT, and 31st in SG: APP over the past few months. This week feels like the perfect chance for him to prove he should’ve been on that Ryder Cup team.
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