Formula 1 Spanish Grand Prix Predictions & Picks: Will Polesitter Piastri Prevail?

The car of 2025 Formula 1 World Drivers' Championship leader Oscar Piastri, the polesitter and betting favorite for the Spanish Grand Prix

Last weekend, the tussle at the top of the Formula 1 World Drivers’ Championship standings took a shift as four-time defending champion Max Verstappen came up just short in his quest for a magnificent Monaco Grand Prix win. Will we see more late suspense in today’s Spanish Grand Prix? Drama at the front in consecutive races is unlikely, but it would certainly be a welcome sight.

Last Sunday, Verstappen stayed out as late as he could to try to make his lead stand up, but he had to pit on the penultimate lap of the 78-lap race. That allowed polesitter Lando Norris to move to the front and take his second win of the season.

As a result, Norris is now only three points behind McLaren teammate Oscar Piastri, who finished third in the race, at the top of the Formula 1 World Drivers’ Championship standings.

Piastri is poised to put a bit of space between himself and Norris in this race and in the standings, as the Australian claimed his fourth pole of the season yesterday. And with his prime position on the starting grid, Piastri is the man to beat in Barcelona, according to oddsmakers.

Bet on Formula 1 Odds at the Best Online Sportsbooks

Odds for every Formula 1 race can be found at many of the best online sportsbooks, as well as odds on who will win this year’s Formula 1 World Drivers’ Championship.

Some F1 betting sites have more markets than others, but you do not have to look hard to find and compare odds for the Spanish Grand Prix and the other 23 races on the calendar.

Three of the best sites for betting on F1 odds are BetOnline, Bovada, and Everygame, all of whom offer outright winner bets, finishing position bets, and an array of prop options for each race.

4.8/5 Review Rating
Bonus & Benefits
55% Welcome Bonus w/ code BNBOL55
See our review »
Up to $250 in Free Bets + 100 Spins
$10 Cash Bonus w/ Code BNEWS
Fastest Payouts

4.5/5 Review Rating
Bonus & Benefits
50% Up to $750
See our review »
Best Prop Bets Selection
Boosted Odds on Parlays
One of the Oldest and Trusted Sites

4.7/5 Review Rating
Bonus & Benefits
100% up to $1000 Sign-Up Bonus
See our review »
Bonus Code: WELCOME1000
Monthly Cash Prizes
Vast Lines and Games Selection

If you would like to learn more about this trio of standout sports betting sites and the sportsbook bonuses you can get at them to bet on the Spanish Grand Prix and more, we have in-depth sportsbook reviews for each of them and several other top online sportsbooks.

Will Pole Prove Pivotal in Barcelona?

In the first four races of the season, getting the best of the field in qualifying served as a precursor to the same outcome occurring in the race. After Norris opened the season by winning the Australian Grand Prix from pole, Piastri collected two wins from pole in China and Bahrain and Verstappen won from pole in Japan.

Then came a three-race dry spell for polesitters at the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix, Miami Grand Prix, and Emilia Romagna Grand Prix before Norris, although he left it late, followed his Monaco pole with a victory in the principality.

If Piastri does pick up his fifth win of the season today, he will erase at least most of what Norris gained last week. While the World Constructors’ Championship appears almost 99 percent certain to be retained by McLaren, the same cannot be said for the World Drivers’ championship, which may not be decided until the end of the season.

2025 Formula 1 World Drivers’ Championship Standings (Through 8 of 24 Races)

  1. Oscar Piastri – 161 points
  2. Lando Norris – 158
  3. Max Verstappen – 136
  4. George Russell – 99
  5. Charles Leclerc – 79
  6. Lewis Hamilton – 63
  7. Kimi Antonelli – 48
  8. Alexander Albon – 42
  9. Esteban Ocon – 20
  10. Isack Hadjar – 15

Odds to Win the 2025 Formula 1 Spanish Grand Prix

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline.

  • Oscar Piastri -150
  • Lando Norris +225
  • Max Verstappen +700
  • George Russell +4000
  • Lewis Hamilton +6600
  • Charles Leclerc +10000
  • Kimi Antonelli +12500
  • Pierre Gasly +25000
  • Isack Hadjar +25000
  • Fernando Alonso +50000

Spanish Grand Prix Predictions and Picks

Last week’s picks went two for two, thanks to Norris getting the win and Lewis Hamilton overcoming a three-place grid penalty to finish safely inside the top six.

Both of those plays had a decent bit of juice, and we will take the juice with the Spanish Grand Prix winner pick this week as well. Piastri converted two of his three previous poles this season to wins, and he will convert this one to a win as well.

The other Formula 1 picks for this week are in a different direction, however.

Alexander Albon has finished in the points in all but one race this season and has four straight points finishes since his 12th-place result at the Bahrain Grand Prix. Will his run continue today? He only qualified 11th, but he will land in the top ten yet again. The best value for that bet can be found at BetOnline, where the Williams driver is -125 to finish in the points.

The other pick for this week is for Nico Hulkenberg to finish higher than Gabriel Bortoleto. The best value for that bet can be found at Everygame, where Hulkenberg is +130 to produce a superior result. Bortoleto (12th) will start three spots ahead of Hulkenberg (15th), but the Brazilian has yet to finish higher than 14th this season, and that makes him ripe for the picking here in a head-to-head matchup against a more experienced and better driver.

Did you enjoy this look at the Spanish Grand Prix? Bookmark Betting News to keep up with all of our Formula 1 content for the 2025 season.