For much of the 2025 CFL season, the Saskatchewan Roughriders hadn’t been solved by anyone other than the Calgary Stampeders, who have beaten them twice this season. But after consecutive losses to the Montreal Alouettes and Edmonton Elks, the Roughriders are in the midst of a small skid as they head into tonight’s road tilt vs. the Ottawa Redblacks (7:30 p.m. ET, CFL+).
Fortunately, the Roughriders (10-4) are still out in front in the West Division, four points ahead of the Stampeders (8-6), Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-7), and BC Lions (8-7).
But the door is still ajar, thanks in part to coming out on the short end in a wild finish in a 27-25 loss at Edmonton last Saturday. The two teams combined for 32 fourth-quarter points, including 23 in the final three and a half minutes.
In the end, the Riders had a chance to force overtime with a two-point conversion on the final play, but an apparent miscommunication saw Trevor Harris’s pass and his intended receiver end up in two different places.
The Redblacks (4-10) are all but eliminated from playoff contention, but they at least have a chance to play spoiler vs. the Roughriders, Hamilton Tiger-Cats, and Alouettes over the final four weeks of the regular season.
Can Ottawa hold serve at home to help Calgary, Winnipeg, and BC? Read on for our Roughriders vs. Redblacks prediction and picks, accompanied by the best betting odds from top online sportsbooks such as BetOnline.
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Ottawa Redblacks Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan Roughriders | -3 (-112) | -175 | Over 52.5 (-110) |
| Ottawa Redblacks | +3 (-108) | +153 | Under 52.5 (-110) |
Roughriders vs. Redblacks Betting Trends
- The Roughriders are 5-2 SU and ATS on the road this season, including 3-2 SU and ATS as a road favorite.
- Saskatchewan is 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS overall as a favorite this season.
- The under is 5-2 in the Roughriders’ road games this season.
- Ottawa is 2-5 SU and ATS at home this season, including 1-3 SU and ATS as a home underdog.
- The Redblacks are 3-7 SU and 5-5 ATS overall as an underdog this season.
- The under is 5-2 in the Redblacks’ home games thsi season.
Roughriders vs. Redblacks Prediction and Picks
Prediction: Roughriders to win
In a long season, it can be difficult to sustain excellence week in, week out.
That’s where the Roughriders find themselves currently. A big reason is because Harris’s play has dropped off after a standout start.
Against the Elks, Harris was 33 for 46 for 351 yards, his first 300-yard game since Week 11. But he was picked off twice and had only one touchdown pass, failing to record multiple touchdown passes for the fourth straight game.
Can he have a much cleaner game tonight in Ottawa? In Week 1 vs. the Redblacks, he was 19 for 26 for 277 yards with two touchdowns and an interception to lead the Roughriders to a season-opening 31-26 win at Mosaic Stadium in Regina.
In that game, Saskatchewan led 31-14 entering the fourth quarter, but Ottawa pulled within five with two touchdowns and had two late drives on which they could have driven for a go-ahead touchdown.
That ultimately set the stage for what has been a frustrating season for the Redblacks. They have played hard, own two upset wins over the Stampeders and a win over BC, but they are not in the playoff reckoning in part because of inconsistency on both sides of the ball and five losses by eight or fewer points.
The Redblacks can play things close again if Dru Brown can have the game he did vs. the Roughriders in the opener. In that loss, he was 34 for 41 for 413 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions.
Ottawa has done decently enough against some of the league’s better teams, and I like the Redblacks’ chances to be within touching distance of the Roughriders. But there is a reason why they are a 4-10 team, and that is why their playoff hopes will be extinguished officially tonight.
Roughriders vs. Redblacks Picks
1) Dru Brown Over 304.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Lucky Rebel)
As mentioned above, QB1 for the Redblacks had 413 yards through the air vs. the Roughriders. He has gone over 304.5 passing yards in four of his eight starts this season, and Saskatchewan has allowed 305+ passing yards three times in the last four games.
2) Roughriders Team Total Over 29.5 (-105 at Bovada)
The Redblacks have given up 30+ points nine times this season, including five in a row until their 26-18 loss to the Blue Bombers last time out in Week 16. Also, they have given up 30+ six times in nine games against West Division teams this season and four times in their seven home games this season.
3) Roughriders/Redblacks Over 52.5 (-110 at BetOnline)
While the trends favor the under in this matchup, the first meeting between these two teams wasn’t short on scoring and I don’t think this Roughriders vs. Redblacks matchup will be either.
In recent weeks, there has been quite a drop-off for Saskatchewan. In the first nine games, the Roughriders allowed an average of 20.3 points per game and gave up 27+ points just twice.
But in their last five games, the Riders have allowed an average of exactly 30 points per game and given up 27+ points four times.
Combine that with what Saskatchewan should be able to do offensively and there’s a very good chance that this one should go over, no matter who wins.
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